Iowa vs. Duke Prediction and Picks for December 6: Big Ten-ACC Challenge Continues

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Kris Murray #24 of the Iowa Hawkeyes against the Seton Hall Pirates as Tae Davis #22 defends. Rich Schultz/Getty Images/AFP.

Capping off a big evening at the Jimmy V Classic is a collision between Iowa and Duke, and we have a free college basketball pick for the Big Ten/ACC battle.

Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Duke Blue Devils

Tuesday, December 6, 2022 – 09:30 PM EST at Madison Square Garden

Officially, the 2022 ACC/Big Ten Challenge was a specific 14-game schedule between the 2 conferences, those contests were played this past week and the ACC won 8 of the games to stop a 3-year run by the Big Ten in the interconference event.

Unofficially, the 2 leagues continue their competition Tuesday night in New York City where the Iowa Hawkeyes and Duke Blue Devils meet for the 9th time in the second of 2 marquee games at this year’s Jimmy V Classic.

Tuesday Is 21st Game Between Conferences This Year

For the record, the 2 conferences are knotted up at 10 wins apiece overall this season. Also for the record, Duke is going to cost backers 3 points at the best sportsbooks while playing the scoreboard means a decision on a 146.5-point total.

Both teams will be playing their 3rd game against teams from the respective conferences. Iowa beat Clemson 74-71 in the semifinals of the Emerald Coast Classic, then cruised past Georgia Tech at home in an ACC/B1G encounter, just covering the spread in the 81-65 final.

Duke was trounced by Purdue in the championship game of the Phil Knight Legacy over Thanksgiving week, dropping a 79-56 decision as 2-point chalk, before bouncing back nicely with an 81-72 win and cover at home over Ohio State in the ACC/Big Ten Challenge.

Iowa’s Outside Shooting off Last 3 Games

Between the 2 wins over the Tigers and Yellowjackets, the Hawkeyes fell to TCU in the Emerald Coast Classic Championship as the Horned Frogs pulled off a solid 79-66 upset while getting 7 points from the good folks at BetOnline.

Iowa struggled to find the basket in the setback to TCU, especially from beyond the arc. The Hawkeyes netted just 3 of 17 attempts from 3-point range in that game and had similar problems even in the wins over Georgia Tech and Clemson.

Combined in those 3 games, Iowa was 16-for-62 from long range (25.8%). Forwards Kris Murray and Patrick McCaffery took more than half of those shots (33) and could only convert 8 of them (24.2%).

Dookies Also Struggling From Behind Arc

After beating the Buckeyes last week, the Blue Devils stayed home over the weekend and got a jump on their ACC schedule with a relatively easy 75-59 win over Boston College that finished just a little bit short of covering their 6th double-digit spread this year on the college basketball odds.

The Eagles managed to compete with Duke for the first 11 minutes or so of the game before the Blue Devils pulled away with an 18-7 spurt to close the first half. Freshman Kyle Filipowski had his 5th double-double of the season and leads Duke in scoring (15.2) and rebounding (9.2).

While the Blue Devils managed to connect on 8-of-20 tries from 3-point land, hitting those outside shots has been a struggle for them this year with the team making just 30.7% to rank 274th in the country.

Duke With 7-1 Lead in Rivalry

We saw the Hawkeyes and Blue Devils meet regularly in the early 90s, 2 of those encounters taking place in the 2nd rounds of successive NCAA Tournaments (1990-91), but Tuesday’s matchup is the first in more than 21 years.

It was a top 10 contest when they met at United Center in November 2001, No. 1 Duke coming out on top of No. 7 Iowa by an 80-62 count as the trio of Jay Williams, Carlos Boozer, and Mike Dunleavy Jr. led the Blue Devils over Reggie Evans and the Hawkeyes.

Stats and Trends

  • Iowa’s last 3 have come up short of the totals after 3 of its first 4 went past the marks.
  • Duke is 3-7 O/U on the year, with all 3 ‘Over’ winners coming at Cameron.
  • Iowa is 4-4 at Madison Square Garden under Fran McCaffery.
  • Duke is making its first trip to MSG under 1st-year head coach Jon Scheyer, after going 33-11 in the building under Mike Krzyzewski.

Play the Underdog and ‘Over’

Both teams are in good shape physically, and we’ll get to see 2 of the top players in the country with Murray all over the floor for the Hawkeyes and Filipowski stretching Iowa’s defense from the paint to the 3-point line for the Blue Devils.

I like the overnight line movement adding to the Hawkeyes’ line, and I believe this one slides past the total in a 75-74 Blue Devils win. For Duke's fans looking to bet on this game, you can do it at our top North Carolina betting sites.

NCAAB Pick: Iowa +3 (-108) at Heritage Sports (visit our Heritage Sports Review)

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Iowa +3 (-108)
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NCAAB Pick: Over 146.5 (-108) at Heritage Sports

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Over 146.5 (-108)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.