Free NCAA Basketball Picks: Our Best Bets for December 8

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A general view prior to a game of the 2021 NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament. Andy Lyons/Getty Images/AFP

New Hampshire has won three straight mid-major games. Can they pull out a fourth on the road in Rhode Island against Bryant?

Let’s take a look at the NCAAB odds for this matchup.

New Hampshire Wildcats vs. Bryant Bulldogs

Wednesday, December 8, 2021 – 07:30 PM EST at Chace Athletic Center

New Hampshire vs. Bryant Analysis

The New Hampshire Wildcats are 4-2 on the season with their only two losses to high major teams like Marquette and Providence. They lost to Marquette by five and Providence by 11. Quality losses in my book.

Meanwhile, Bryant is 3-6 on the year with bad losses to Bethune Cookman (rated 353 via KenPom) and Dartmouth (rated 263 via KenPom). Now the Bulldogs are coming off two road losses to Houston and Cincinnati. That's a bit draining.

New Hampshire is one of the best teams at protecting the basketball. The Wildcats are only turning the ball over 13.5 percent of the time this season along with a 51.2 percent effective field goal percentage. New Hampshire is shooting 35.2 percent from downtown and 50 percent from inside.

Meanwhile, Bryant has allowed teams to shoot 39.7 percent from downtown on the year - and trust me - New Hampshire likes to shoot the three-ball plenty.

On the defensive end, New Hampshire is holding opponents to a 45.6 percent effective field goal percentage while also holding opponents to 26.5 percent from long range. Like New Hampshire, Bryant loves to shoot the three. Except, Bryant has only hit 27.6 percent of three-pointers. It's not going to be easy against New Hampshire's defense.

New Hampshire vs. Bryant Prediction

So basically, we'll get many one-and-dones for the Bulldogs. New Hampshire is great at defending the three and great at defensive rebounding. Bryant is also shooting just 45.1 percent from inside the arc and really struggling to get to the stripe at a high rate.

Then, on the flip side, Bryant is so bad at winning the glass, that New Hampshire will have plenty of opportunities for second chances on the offensive side of the ball. Currently, Bryant is 340th in the nation in defensive rebounding via KenPom while New Hampshire is 25th in the nation in defensive rebounding.

Bryant is also 322nd in three-point shooting while New Hampshire is 20th in the nation in defending the three. Both teams have plenty of experience and will make this an exciting game. Bryant won’t mind playing their players with two fouls in the first half while New Hampshire will usually sit guys after two fouls.

Sometimes those decisions can burn a team. If a starter gets three fouls in the first half, that won’t help to go into the second half. Bryant has more “depth” that is used on a game-by-game basis, however, New Hampshire likely still has the better depth and quality off the bench, if that makes any sense.

Once Bryant has to go to the bench, production really falls off. That’s also why Bryant doesn’t mind keeping players in with two fouls.

Expert Pick

So let's roll with New Hampshire for our NCAAB pick tonight. Of course, I agree with the moneyline. I will always play it safe and give myself the best chance at winning a bet. I don't care about juice. I'm trying to win one game every day. If you play multiple games, then the juice starts to matter a bit.

NCAAB Pick: New Hampshire +1.5 (-115) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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New Hampshire +1.5 (-115)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.