Free NCAA Basketball Picks: Our Best Bets for December 22

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Braelen Bridges #23 of the Georgia Bulldogs dunks against the Northwestern Wildcats. Rich Schultz/Getty Images/AFP

ETSU has lost two straight games and will now have to play a road game against an SEC opponent in Georgia.

How will this game end? Let’s take a look at the NCAAB odds.

East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs. Georgia Bulldogs

Wednesday, December 22, 2021 – 07:00 pm EST at Stegeman Coliseum

Betting Analysis

East Tennessee State will travel to Georgia for a non-conference matchup against the Georgia Bulldogs. The Buccaneers have lost two in a row to North Carolina A&T and UNC Asheville and will now take on an SEC team on the road.

Georgia will likely be the worst SEC team in the conference this year, but that won't stop them from beating East Tennessee State, at home.

The Bulldogs are just an average group. But that’s fine in this matchup. Georgia shoots 49.5 percent from inside the arc and gets to the foul line at an extremely high rate. Georgia is only shooting 30.7 percent from long range but has done well inside, scoring 51.6 percent of shots inside.

East Tennessee State has struggled with defensive rebounding and has held opponents to 51.4 percent inside in the first place. There's room for Georgia to score points, whether that's inside, from long range, or via second chances. Plus, again, Georgia is 25th in the nation when it comes to points scored from foul shots.

Georgia also has great ball movement and assist on nearly 60 percent of buckets made. And of course, the Bulldogs have the height advantage in this one as well. They've also got the experience advantage and will play top players if they get in foul trouble early.

Expert Prediction

On the other hand, East Tennessee State is shooting a worse effective field goal percentage, at 48.9 percent. The Buccaneers are also turning the ball over at a higher rate of 21.3 percent. Georgia isn't a real threat to force turnovers, but some of ETSU turnovers aren't even forced. I believe Georgia will win the turnover battle in this game.

The Buccaneers are very good at crashing the offensive glass, bringing down 35.1 percent of offensive rebounds. But this is an area where Georgia has been above average, holding opponents to just 27 percent offensive rebounds. If the Bulldogs stick around that number and limit ETSU on the glass, they'll be in great shape.

The Buccaneers are the worst team in all of college basketball when it comes to free throws attempted to field goals attempted. What this means is that ETSU rarely gets to the line.

ETSU is also three-point happy but shoots 32.4 percent from downtown. Meanwhile, Georgia has allowed opponents to shoot just 31.3 percent from downtown. This year, the Bulldogs have defended the three well this year and have also been better defensive inside the arc in comparison to East Tennessee State.

Expert Pick

I like Georgia to shoot at a higher percentage, win the turnover battle, and believe they’ll have success on the offensive glass while holding ETSU off the offensive glass a little bit.

On top of that, Georgia will get to the charity stripe more while also having the experience and height advantage in this game. Give me Georgia -160 on the moneyline for my NCAAB pick tonight.

NCAAB Pick: Georgia ML (-160) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Georgia ML (-160)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.