NCAAB Pick: Duke +4 (-108) at Heritage Sports (visit our Heritage Sports Review)
An opportunity to sweep the season series from the Miami Hurricanes awaits Duke on Monday’s NCAA basketball betting schedule matchups, but can the Blue Devils beat an ACC contender on the road?
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Duke Blue Devils vs. Miami Hurricanes
Monday, February 6, 2023 – 07:00 PM EST at Watsco Center
We are at the quarter pole of the college hoops regular season, and while Duke is underperforming according to preseason NCAA basketball futures, Jon Scheyer still deserves a good grade in his first season after replacing Blue Devils legend Mike Krzyzewski as head coach.
One problem the Blue Devils have encountered is winning on the road, especially in the ACC, and that is something Scheyer hopes to begin correcting Monday evening when Duke heads down to Miami to meet Jim Larrañaga and the Hurricanes.
Rivalry Notes & Betting Trends
Miami was just up in Durham a little more than two weeks ago. The Blue Devils survived a late scoring drought in the 68-66 win. The Hurricanes were getting 6 in that collision, and the final stayed comfortably ‘under’ a 148-point total.
It has been a little more than two years since the teams got together in Coral Gables, and it was Miami surviving that February 2021 meeting by a 77-75 count. The Hurricanes were double-digit underdogs at top sportsbooks.
- Duke has won 6 of the last 8 meetings to build a 24-9 lead in the rivalry.
- The Blue Devils are 9-6 in games played in Coral Gables.
- The January meeting at Cameron marked just the second time since 1988 that Duke was unranked when it played Miami.
Are Blue Devils in for Letdown After UNC Game?
Over the course of eight games as a Duke player, Scheyer logged 4 hours and 46 minutes against North Carolina. This past Saturday marked his cherry on facing the Tar Heels as a head coach, and it was a happy ending for Scheyer as the Cameron Crazies.
Closing as 2½-point home chalk on the NCAAB odds, Duke won a back-and-forth affair with a 63-57 final in Scheyer’s first experience as a head coach in the rivalry. The final never even sniffed a 145-point total.
A combination of good defense and poor offense contributed to the ‘Under’ winner as the two sides combined to shoot just 36.6%, plus there was very little activity along the charity stripe with the teams shooting just 18 free throws (only 3 attempts for UNC).
The Blue Devils were playing without Dariq Whitehead for a third consecutive game on Saturday, and the freshman is still showing up as questionable for Monday’s contest with a strained lower left leg.
‘Canes Off Victory at ACC-Leading Clemson
Larrañaga and the Hurricanes are returning home following a hard-fought win of their own, picking up a key victory at Clemson this past Saturday when Miami closed as a short 1½-point underdog at BetOnline.
There was a flurry of scoring at the end of the game when the two teams combined to score 13 points in the final 28 seconds, and it was free throws that enabled the Hurricanes to maintain the lead they took for good about two minutes into the second half.
Miami ended up with a wide 17-8 scoring edge over the Tigers at the free throw line, and also dominated the glass with a 38-28 rebounding margin. All five Hurricane starters scored in double-figures, led by Nijel Pack’s 20 points.
Miami Spread Doubles Overnight
What was initially a 2-point overnight spread favoring Miami at some sportsbooks has doubled to -4 on the morning lines at most sites.
The Blue Devils are 9-14 ATS on the season while the Hurricanes check in 14-9 ATS. Monday’s total is 146-146.5.
Can Duke End Hurricanes’ Home Streak?
Duke and Miami have done a flip with each other in the futures betting column entering Monday’s tussle, and the current gap between the two figures to either widen or shrink depending on the outcome.
The Blue Devils began the campaign just a little behind rival North Carolina for the preseason title of ACC favorite, and both teams are still close to each other as college basketball picks of around +650.
The Hurricanes started off in the middle of the conference pack as (+1400) picks, and are presently showing up on prices of (+425) to (+450) at various outlets.
Miami has been perfect at home while Duke has struggled on the road, and yet the allure of getting the Blue Devils and the points is too strong for me to pass up in this one.
Final Score: Miami 73 – Duke 71
NCAAB Pick: Duke +4 (-108) at Heritage Sports
NCAAB Pick: Under 146.5 (-110) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.
