NCAAB Pick: St. Louis -1.5 (-110) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)
It’s a small slate in college basketball today. But we still have three incredibly valuable NCAAB picks we’ll be placing tonight. Come join us!
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Davidson Wildcats
Friday, January 27, 2023 – 07:00 PM EST at John M. Belk Arena
The Saint Louis Billikens are on a five-game winning streak. They’ve begun A-10 conference play with a 6-1 record and will now take on the Davidson Wildcats on the road. Davidson has struggled this season. The Wildcats are just 3-5 in conference play and ended a four-game losing streak with a win over La Salle.
The Wildcats have only earned 24.8% of offensive rebounds and are shooting 30.2% from downtown. They don’t shoot a very high percentage from downtown, but they’re ultimately not making those looks and struggling to earn second chances off them. Inside the arc, the Wildcats have hit 52% of shots, but they’ll face a Saint Louis defense that has allowed just 45.1% from inside the arc.
The Billikens have also held opponents to 33.6% from downtown, and while they won’t earn a whole bunch of turnovers, they are excellent on the defensive glass, holding teams to 26.1% of offensive rebounds. Davidson will get a solid amount of free throw attempts, which will help them stick around at home. The Wildcats are shooting 74.1% from the foul line this season, a top-100 number in college basketball.
On the other hand, the Billikens are the much more consistent offense. They’ve earned 30.6% of offensive rebounds and have hit 33.8% from downtown and 51.6% from two this year. St. Louis is weaker from the line, shooting 72.3%, but that’s still a good rate. In this game, they'll eventually earn more second chances and offensive rebounds, but Davidson will earn more foul shots and probably limit turnovers more.
The spread suggests that this game will be close. I agree. Give me the red-hot Billikens on the road to earn the -1.5 cover.
NCAAB Pick: St. Louis -1.5 (-110) at BetOnline
Buffalo Bulls vs. Kent State Golden Flashes
Friday, January 27, 2023 - 09:00 PM EST at M.A.C. Center
The Kent State Golden Flashes watched their undefeated MAC season come to a close in their last game. They’re still 6-1 and have a home game against an underwhelming Buffalo team. The Buffalo Bulls are 4-3 in conference play and in danger of falling back to .500 with a loss to Kent State.
The Bulls are nailing 32.4% from deep and 51.4% from inside the arc. The offense isn’t entirely efficient. However, they have the 16th-quickest possession length in college basketball. They’ll have a ton of possessions in this game. Kent State allows 30.6% of offensive rebounds and fouling at a high rate. Buffalo should also be able to earn second chances, and points with the clock stopped plenty of times in this game.
On the other hand, Kent State has earned 23.7% turnovers this season and has held opponents to 31.2% from three and 46.7% from two. The Golden Flashes play solid defense, but Buffalo will still be able to do the little things to earn a solid amount of points.
Kent State is an average offense, shooting 33.6% from deep and 49.9% from inside the arc. They will outshoot Buffalo from the line, especially since Buffalo fouls at an incredibly high pace. Kent State has hit 74.4% of foul shots this season. They will also limit turnovers, and while they’re not terrific on the glass, neither is Buffalo on the defensive end. Therefore, I’d back the Over 151.5 at -110 NCAAB odds in this matchup.
NCAAB Pick: Over 151.5 (-110) at BetOnline
Air Force Falcons vs. New Mexico Lobos
Friday, January 27, 2023 - 10:00 PM EST at The Pit
The New Mexico Lobos are having an incredible season. The Lobos are 18-3 but are coming off a road loss to Nevada, 97-94, in double overtime. Conference road games are always tricky, and Nevada is never an easy opponent. They’re currently ranked in the top five in college basketball. Air Force isn’t.
Air Force is ranked 162 and has lost its last two games against San Diego State and San Jose State. The road loss to San Jose State was by 30 points. You can expect the same tonight from New Mexico.
The Lobos should get to the foul line at a very high rate. They’re also shooting 35.8% from downtown and 53.4% from inside the arc. New Mexico rarely takes threes, though, and that’s probably a good thing knowing Air Force has allowed teams to shoot just 28.4% from downtown. The perimeter defense won’t affect New Mexico that much.
Meanwhile, Air Force struggles on the offensive glass and won’t get as many foul shot opportunities. The Falcons have nailed 35.5% from deep and 55.4% from inside the arc. They shoot a ton of threes, and New Mexico has held opponents to 29.6% on the season. If Air Force struggles from downtown, New Mexico should be able to run away with this game early.
NM locals interested in this pick or other can place their wagers at any of these New Mexico betting sites.
NCAAB Pick: New Mexico -13 (-110) at BetOnline
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.
