Baylor vs. Oklahoma State Top Picks for February 27: Will the Real Bears & Cowboys Please Stand Up?

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John-Michael Wright #51 of the Oklahoma State Cowboys drives against K.J. Adams Jr. #24 of the Kansas Jayhawks. Ed Zurga/Getty Images/AFP.

NCAAB Pick: Oklahoma State ML (+100) at Bovada (visit our Bovada Review)

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Oklahoma State ML (+100)
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A dangerous late-season dip has Oklahoma State struggling to begin the final week of the regular season, but the Cowboys have a chance to end their woes on Monday’s college basketball betting card when the Baylor Bears visit Stillwater.


Baylor Bears vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys

Monday, February 27, 2023 – 09:00 PM EST at Gallagher-Iba Arena

They have been up and they have been down, at times playing like the very best the Big 12 has to offer and looking like the worst team in the bunch at other times, and it’s enough to leave college basketball bettors on both sides of the Red River wondering if either Baylor or Oklahoma State can ever find a consistent groove.

It certainly has yours truly a bit perplexed in advance of the Monday night matchup between the Bears and Cowboys, a game that could eventually land Baylor a 2-seed in both the conference and NCAA tourneys as well as a game that could lift Oklahoma State from ‘first four out’ to ‘last four in.’

Series History & Betting Trends

When the teams met in Waco back in mid-January, Baylor was starting to come out of its early funk and play like one of the favorites the Bears were expected to be and Oklahoma State was in the throes of an early 3-game losing skid.

Favored by 7.5 at the best Texas betting sites, Baylor led the entire way for a 74-58 decision that saw the Cowboys only put up a little bit of a challenge midway through the first half. That one came up short of a 139-point total.

Last year’s gathering at Gallagher-Iba Arena was worth the price of admission to watch the two teams exchange blows down the stretch and eventually go to overtime before Baylor managed to post a 66-64 triumph. The Bears were giving up 4.5 on the road.

  • Baylor has dominated the series over the last 10 seasons by winning 15 of 20 meetings in that span, but Oklahoma State still holds a strong 57-34 all-time lead in the rivalry.
  • The Bears’ cover in January halted a string of four consecutive matchups covered by the Cowboys.
  • The last three meetings stopped short of totals that ranged from 139-141.5.

George to Miss Monday’s Matchup

With Texas ahead by 14 and having seen one of Baylor’s top players limp off the court less than halfway through the first half this past Saturday, I was feeling pretty good about my Longhorns +4 play at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review).

The feeling wouldn’t last for long as the Bears tightened their laces and grabbed control of the contest with a combination of solid defense and Texas losing its shooting touch. Baylor turned the deficit into a 2-point halftime lead and surged to an 81-72 victory by the game’s end.

Scott Drew’s squad won despite 21 turnovers and did so by consistently finding the net on an afternoon the Bears shot 50% from the field (25-50) and sank 9-of-19 (47%) from beyond the arc. Dale Bonner (13 pts) and Langston Love (11 pts) keyed the dubya off the bench.

Bonner and Love were given extra playing time due to Keyonte George injuring his ankle after being on the floor just six minutes, and the freshman sensation never returned to the game. The Bears’ leading scorer is questionable to play against the Cowboys.

Cowboys Fail to Cover Last 3 at Home

Mike Boynton and the Cowboys have their own injury concerns. Oklahoma State has been without Avery Anderson III since beating rival Oklahoma on February 1, and his absence has really been felt the last two weeks as the Cowboys fell into a 4-game skid.

Shortly after falling to Baylor in Waco, Boynton’s bunch seemed to turn things around to win seven of their next eight and look like one of the most dangerous teams in the Big 12. Instead, the Cowboys are in danger of missing March Madness.

The latest setback came Saturday at home as 4-point chalk on the NCAAB odds, running out of steam in a hard-fought contest against Kansas State to drop a 73-68 decision.


Yippee Ki-Yay! Cowboys Lasso a Win

Openers for the contest were all over the place with some shops starting the wagering proceedings off as a pick while others favored Baylor by 2. That has since settled in the middle with the Bears listed at -1 at most outlets.

Thanks to energy from the home crowd, the Bears were able to turn to their bench and make up for the loss of George on Saturday. It will be a different story without their talented freshman on the road, one reason my college basketball pick is to play the Cowboys on the moneyline.

NCAAB Pick: Oklahoma State ML (+100) at Bovada

NCAAB Pick: Under 142.5 (-108) at Heritage Sports (visit our Heritage Sports Review)

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Under 142.5 (-108)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.