Basketball Plays of the Day for January 18: Free NCAA Basketball Picks

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Armando Bacot #5 of the North Carolina Tar Heels. Grant Halverson/Getty Images/AFP

The North Carolina Tar Heels will look to win a tough road game against Miami and extend a two-game winning streak. Will it happen? Keep reading to analyze the NCAAB odds and check the best sportsbook to bet with today. 

North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Miami (FL) Hurricanes

Tuesday, January 18, 2022 – 7:00 PM EST at Watsco Center

 

The Miami Hurricanes will welcome the North Carolina Tar Heels to Coral Gables, Florida in an exciting ACC matchup. Miami started the season looking like the worst ACC team in the nation but then won nine straight games including wins over teams like Penn State, Clemson, Wake Forest, Syracuse, and Duke.

In Miami's last game, the Hurricanes lost 65-64 to Florida State. So Miami looks really impressive recently. Meanwhile, North Carolina has won four of their last five games and despite getting blown out by Kentucky earlier this season, the Tar Heels are still 12-4 and ranked in the top 25 via KenPom.

North Carolina is sensational on the offensive end. The Tar Heels are shooting an effective field goal percentage of 55 percent while only turning the ball over 17.3 percent of the time.

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The Tar Heels should have their way on the glass and continue to shoot very well from the field. North Carolina has hit nearly 40 percent of three-point shots and 52.6 percent inside the arc on the season. The Tar Heels also shoot 75.9 percent from the line.

On the other hand, you've got a Miami defense that hasn't been good at all this season, despite its record. The Hurricanes have allowed a 53.6 percent effective field goal percentage while allowing 31.4 percent offensive rebounds. That's not good news going up against a very good North Carolina team when it comes to rebounding.

Miami has also allowed opponents to hit 36.8 percent from downtown and 52.3 percent from inside the arc. Basically, North Carolina should have its way throughout the entire game on the offensive end, from shooting to rebounding.

Meanwhile, Miami is still solid offensively this season and that's what has kept them in games. The Hurricanes are shooting an effective field goal percentage of 53.5 percent and are really limiting turnovers. That's crucial for them, knowing that North Carolina will rarely force turnovers.

Miami shoots 35.3 percent from deep and 53.7 percent from inside the arc. The Hurricanes are just as good from the line as North Carolina.

However, Miami only gets 23.7 percent offensive rebounds and will go up against one of the nation's best rebounding teams in the country. North Carolina limits offensive rebounds to just 20 percent on the season and they also limit teams at the foul line at one of the best rates in the country.

Basically, if the Hurricanes miss a shot, they will have little chance t get points at the line or via second chance. But on the other end, UNC should be able to dominate the glass and earn second chances. Plus, they've already shot the ball better than Miami throughout the season, especially from three.

North Carolina is also average defensively, allowing teams to shoot just 32.3 percent from three and 49.2 percent from inside the arc. These numbers are still much better than Miami's numbers when it comes to defense.

Prediction

Miami usually earns a lot of possessions via turnovers but North Carolina only turns the ball over 17.3 percent of the time. When North Carolina limits the turnovers on the offensive end and gains second chances off the occasional miss, they'll be in great shape. For your college basketball picks, grab North Carolina on the moneyline!

NCAAB Pick: North Carolina ML (-135) with BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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North Carolina ML (-135)
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