Basketball Plays of the Day for December 7: Free NCAA Basketball Picks

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David Mitchell #0 of the Brown Bears takes a rebound against Duke. Grant Halverson/Getty Images/AFP

The Brown Bears have won three straight against mid-major opponents. Will they make it four against Merrimack, on the road?

Let’s dive into the NCAAB odds for this one.

Brown Bears vs. Merrimack Warriors

Tuesday, December 7, 2021 – 07:00 PM EST at Hammel Court

The Brown Bears are 7-4 on the season with losses to teams like North Carolina, Creighton, Colorado, and Bryant. That Bryant loss will string a bit, losing 65-59 at home, but since that loss to Bryant, Brown has picked up three straight mid-major wins over Quinnipiac, UMass Lowell, and Sacred Heart.

Brown also lost to Colorado on a neutral court by two and only lost by seven to North Carolina earlier this year. Brown is well-coached and a quality team in the Ivy League. The offense is simply average but this average offense will go up against a terrible Merrimack offense.

The Bears are shooting an effective field goal percentage of 48.1 percent and earning nearly 30 percent of offensive rebounds. You'll also see Brown gets to the line more frequently. Brown is shooting 32.2 percent from long range and 48 percent from inside. Again, these are average numbers. The Bears don't do anything poorly on the offensive end. That's a good thing at the end of the day.

Merrimack Blowing Teams Away

Meanwhile, Merrimack is 4-5 on the year and just lost two straight to Boston University and UMass Lowell. They've been blown out by teams like Virginia Tech, Army, and Rutgers and don't have any impressive wins on the season.

After Brown, Merrimack will get to take on Gonzaga. Things aren't moving in the right direction right now. The Warriors are shooting an effective field goal percentage of 44.9 percent while earning just 18.7 percent offensive rebounds. Basically, Brown should be able to control the glass in this game on both ends of the floor.

The Warriors also struggle to get to the foul line, as they're 320th in the nation in free throws attempted to field goals attempted this season.

The Merrimack offense moves extremely slow. Games against the Warriors go slow. However, Brown can work offense regardless and earn a bunch of second-chance buckets in this game. Merrimack, on the other hand, just doesn't have the offense to keep up, especially when this team is taking bad shots or not getting to the line.

Merrimack could also lose the turnover battle, which would be something they’re not used to. Plus, Merrimack will be getting dominated on the glass.

Brown vs. Merrimack Pick

Brown goes to the bench at a high rate and has plenty of depth. Merrimack doesn't. The starting lineup has plenty of experience but the Merrimack team doesn't have much height. The Brown Bears are getting healthy at the perfect time with Dan Friday and Tamenang Choh active.

I'm taking Brown on the moneyline. I have no idea what the line movement will be, especially with Merrimack at home. You can wait or you can grab it now. That's all up to you. I've grabbed -136 and will stand by it for my NCAAB pick. I believe Brown has a nearly 70 percent chance at winning this game. Let's go!!

NCAAB Pick: Brown ML (-136) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline)

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Brown ML (-136)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.