Basketball Plays of the Day for December 14: Free NCAA Basketball Picks

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Collin Cooper #14 of the Central Arkansas Bears celebrates after making a three-point shot. Wesley Hitt/Getty Images/AFP.

Editor’s Note: This game was postponed around 05:00 PM EST after Arkansas-Little Rock announced they would be unable to field a team, depleted by flu-like symptoms per the Arkansas Democrat-Gazette.

The Little Rock Trojans will head out on the road to take on the Central Arkansas Bears. The Bears have just one win on the season, but it’s a good one against Oral Roberts, 70-67. Every other game has been a loss. The Bears even got crushed by New Orleans, 90-63 on the road. New Orleans is currently ranked as the 303rd best team in the nation via KenPom.

Meanwhile, Little Rock is ranked 311th in the nation and will take on a Central Arkansas team that is currently ranked 340th. Little Rock is averaging 70.5 points per game on the season while shooting 43.3 percent from the field.

Central Arkansas has lost five straight games. Will Little Rock make it six tonight at the Farris Center? Let’s take a look at the NCAAB odds and decide which way to lean at top betting sites.

Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans vs. Central Arkansas Bears

Tuesday, December 14, 2021 – 08:00 PM EST at Farris Center

The Trojans are shooting a higher effective field goal percentage while giving up fewer turnovers than Central Arkansas on the season. Central Arkansas is also incredibly bad on the glass as the Bears have allowed teams to earn 35.1 percent offensive rebounds.

The one area where Little Rock can win this game is at the foul line. Both teams have depth and aren't afraid to use bench players, however, only the Central Arkansas Bears commit fouls at a very high rate. Little Rock is nifty at getting to the line and also limiting fouls on the other end.

The Trojans are shooting just 28.3 percent from downtown but aren't taking a whole lot of threes, to begin with. The Trojans would much rather bang around inside and are shooting 48.4 percent from inside the arc. A lot of points for the Trojans are inside the arc and at the foul line.

Central Arkansas is shooting 27.8 percent from downtown and shoot more threes than Little Rock does per game. The Bears are also hitting 47.2 percent from inside the arc. That will be helpful to them as Little Rock has really struggled to defend inside.

Teams are shooting 58.3 percent from inside and 38.6 percent from outside against Little Rock on the year. This, despite Little Rock forcing nearly 20 percent of turnovers and allowing just under 27 percent offensive rebounds per game.

Little Rock has faced some incredible teams that could shoot from downtown. The Trojans are allowing 40 percent of total points to come from the three-point line. Central Arkansas isn't one of those teams that will average 40 percent from downtown.

Prediction

Expect a really fast-paced game between both of these teams. Sometimes Central Arkansas will play too fast. Little Rock should be prepared for another fast game, knowing they've faced so many opponents that love to get in transition quickly.

Little Rock has faced just two division I teams outside of a 152 rank. They lost to Sam Houston State 77-59 but beat up Northern Illinois, who is ranked 324, 67-60. The Trojans already faced teams like Southern Illinois, Tulsa, Colorado State, Arkansas, Missouri State. It's been a really difficult schedule. They'll be prepared and come away with a win tonight.

NCAAB Pick: Little Rock Trojans -135 via BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Little Rock Trojans (-135)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.