Will the Oregon State Beavers upset the Oregon Ducks, at home, in an exciting rivalry matchup? Here is all you need to know for your college basketball picks.
Oregon Ducks vs. Oregon State Beavers
Monday, January 10, 2022 – 10:00 PM EST at Gill Coliseum
The Oregon Ducks will take on the Oregon State Beavers in the Gill Coliseum, which is the home of Oregon State in Corvallis, Oregon.
The Ducks have been extremely inconsistent this season and have gone 8-6 on the year. Of course, the Ducks have all the talent in the world, but the box score hasn’t proved it so far this season.
Oregon’s offense is getting the job done. The Ducks are shooting a 53.1% effective field goal percentage while turning the ball over just 18.4% of the time.
On the offensive glass, the Ducks have gained 31.2% offensive rebounds and haven’t had to dominate the glass knowing how well they’ve shot it this season.
The Ducks are shooting 35.7% from long range and 52.9% from inside the arc this season.
On the other hand, the Oregon State Beavers are holding opponents to an effective field goal percentage of 51.4%, which isn’t great. The two things Oregon State does well defensively are forcing turnovers and limiting fouls.
Oregon State has earned 19.5% turnovers per game this season and has limited teams to a below-average amount of foul shots per game. While it could stink for a team to get in foul trouble early, Oregon State does have lots of depth on the team regardless. The Beavers are using 40.7% of their minutes using the bench, which helps keep guys fresh throughout the entire game.
On offense, Oregon State has an effective field goal percentage of 50.1%. The Beavers aren’t turning the ball over at a high rate, at 18.3%, and should end up with more turnovers forced when the game concludes.
The Beavers aren’t shooting well from three, hitting just 31.5% from long range, however, the Beavers would rather work inside and score inside the arc. Oregon State is hitting 51.2% from inside the arc while Oregon is allowing teams to shoot 51.9% from inside.
The Ducks are also giving up 33.9% of threes on the season.
Oregon will be fine on the glass and easily win the glass, but the defense hasn’t been able to stop teams from getting good looks and shots up. If Oregon State can win the turnover battle and keep Oregon off the foul line frequently, there’s a good chance Oregon State stays in this game at home.
In a rivalry game, you’d expect this game to be close. In Oregon’s only true road game, the Ducks lost to Stanford. While this is a true road game, I understand there will be some Oregon fans at the stadium.
Either way, 6.5 points at the NCAAB odds is just way too many for Oregon on the road. Oregon has had some big collapses this season and against Oregon State, anything can happen. For these reasons, choose Oregon State at the top-rated sportsbooks.
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