Editor’s Note: The NBA postponed the game afterCOVID-19 outbreak within Denver left the Nuggets without the necessary eight players required to play.
After what happened to Tuesday’s NBA picks, the over should have some legs when the Denver Nuggets host the Golden State Warriors. Let’s break down the NBA odds and decide which way to lean at the top betting sites.
Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets
Thursday, December 30, 2021 – 09:30 PM EST at Ball Arena
What in the name of Adonal Foyle was that? The Golden State Warriors hosted the Denver Nuggets last Tuesday, in a game where they didn’t have all-defensive everything Draymond Green available; it seemed like a good spot for the over, but Denver ended up winning that game 89-86 (Under 217.5), cashing in as 8-point road dogs on the NBA lines. It was like we were back in 1997 for a minute.
With any luck, the ZigZag Theory will allow us to pound the over again for Thursday’s NBA picks when these two teams meet again in Denver. There’s nothing on the odds board at press time, but Green is still in league protocol, and the Nuggets are still as short-handed as they were Tuesday. Let’s assume for now that the total for the rematch will be much lower and that we can take advantage by sticking with the game plan.
Dark Green Energy
That game plan depends on the status of Green. He’s playing his best basketball since he was named Defensive Player of the Year in 2017; Green’s offense has also picked up a bit compared to recent years, but he’s still worse than league average in that department, according to the Box Plus/Minus numbers at Basketball Reference -offense: minus-0.3 BPM and defense: plus-4.6 BPM- that latter number is tops in the NBA and a career-high for Green.
He went into protocol on December 26th and is considered as day-to-day, so there’s a non-zero chance he returns Thursday – maybe even in the middle of the game, which is a thing now. Damion Lee (minus-2.1 BPM), another defense-leaning player, isn’t expected to come off the COVID-19 list until New Year’s Day.
Eight Is Enough
Denver’s missing person file includes eight players, but remarkably, none of them are in protocol, at least as we go to press. Jamal Murray (knee), Michael Porter Jr (back) and P.J. Dozier (knee) are all out indefinitely; Aaron Gordon (hamstring), Austin Rivers (thumb), Monté Morris (knee), Vlatko Cančar (illness) and Markus Howard (knee) are all listed as day-to-day, although Howard isn’t expected to be re-evaluated until January at the earliest – the other four have been deemed questionable for Thursday.
The Warriors are 3.5-point road faves on the overseas NBA odds board as I write this, so if you’re looking to bet the spread, the ZigZag Theory says they’re the team to pick after losing Tuesday’s contest. But we’re hesitant here at the office to pick anyone heading into that thin Mile High air, especially during a pandemic. Let’s see what the total has to offer once it comes out, and may the sphere be with you in the New Year.
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.