Warriors vs. Clippers Expert NBA Betting Analysis and Free Pick

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Stephen Curry #30 of the Golden State Warriors. Ezra Shaw/Getty Images/AFP

The Warriors will look for their 18th win in their first 20 games of the season. On the road, against the Clippers, do the Warriors have it in them? Let’s take a look at the NBA odds and decide which way to lean at top betting sites.

Golden State Warriors vs. Los Angeles Clippers

Sunday, November 28, 2021 – 3:30 PM EST at STAPLES Center

It wasn’t too long ago when everyone counted out the Warriors after last year’s struggles without Stephen Curry. However, things have changed since then. Curry looks like the Most Valuable Player and the Warriors are 17-2 to start the season.

Now they’ll take on a Clippers team that is still missing one huge piece from their team in Kawhi Leonard. Even without Leonard, the Clippers have been fantastic on the defensive end. They’ve held opponents to 102.2 points per 100 possessions and have allowed a 49.3 percent effective field goal percentage, which is third in the league.

The Clippers have also forced 15.6 percent turnovers, which is above average, and have been able to really limit teams from getting to the foul line, leading the league in defensive free throw rate, at 13.9. The defense has needed to be really good because the offense hasn’t been. The Clippers are scoring just 106.6 points per 100 possessions and are shooting an effective field goal percentage of 52 percent.

The turnovers are high on the offensive end at 15 percent and Los Angeles rarely grabs offensive rebounds, standing 28th in the nation with 22.9 percent. Paul George has scored 25.6 points per game and has led this team through the absence of Leonard. However, when Reggie Jackson is your second-leading scorer, it’s hard to find much success.

On the other hand, the Warriors are limiting teams to 101.1 points per 100 possessions while holding opponents to a 49.9 percent effective field goal percentage. The defense has also forced 16.1 percent turnovers and has dominated the defensive glass, giving the opposition less than a quarter of offensive rebounds.

Offensively, the Warriors have been lights out. They’re scoring 114.8 points per 100 possessions and have the highest effective field goal percentage in the league at 57.1 percent. Golden State will turn the ball over at a high rate at 15.8 percent but have been above average when it comes to offensive rebounds and free throw rate. With Steph Curry averaging 28.4 points per game, the Warriors are in terrific shape for when Klay Thompson is able to return. This team is already fantastic and will get better as the season goes on.

Prediction

It’s easy to predict that the Warriors will win. They’ve only lost two games all year. However, I’ll go a different route and predict this game goes under the total of 215. These two teams have the top two defenses in the league when it comes to points per 100 possessions.

On offense, the Warriors and Clippers are in the bottom half when it comes to turning the ball over and as I mentioned before, the Clippers do a great job at limiting foul shots but also don’t get to the line at a high rate.

Grab the under in this one for your NBA pick.

NBA Pick: Under 215 (-110) via BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.