Trail Blazers vs. Warriors NBA Picks and Odds Analysis

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Damian Lillard #0 of the Portland Trail Blazers. Steph Chambers/Getty Images/AFP

The Portland Trail Blazers are spiraling down the drain and tonight they get one of the toughest opponents on the schedule in the Golden State Warriors.

What are the NBA odds for this matchup? Let’s take a look!

Portland Trail Blazers vs. Golden State Warriors

Wednesday, December 08, 2021 – 10:00 PM EST at Chase Center

The Sharp Analysis

The Blazers have been struck with some drama over the last few days and that likely won’t subside here on Wednesday as they travel to Golden State to play the Warriors.

Damian Lillard has noted that he wants changes in the organization and while he is still out for Wednesday’s game, reporters won’t take a night off asking him and the rest of the Blazers about their rocky start and trade rumors.

Another thing that won’t help is that news broke Tuesday that C.J. McCollum suffered a collapsed lung and won’t be able to play for the foreseeable future.

Lung injuries are especially problematic with a deadly airborne respiratory illness floating around, so I think I speak for everyone when I say that we hope McCollum is ok and that he is able to recover quickly and be back on the court soon.

However, the Blazers’ issues don’t stop there. They also have several members of the squad listed as questionable, which makes winning this game even tougher without their top two guards.

Along with their two stars being out, the Blazers have listed Nas Little and Anfernee Simons as questionable for this one. If both of those guys miss tonight, things may get ugly against this stout Dubs defense.

The Sharp Prediction

At +14 underdogs and climbing, the Blazers are only fade-worthy tonight. Both teams have some time off after tonight and don’t play until this weekend, so the Warriors could just lock down on defense in this one and Portland may not get to 100 points.

Portland has failed to get to 100 points in two of their last three games anyway and tonight with the potential of two starters and two rotational players being out, they may not get to 90.

The Blazers had everyone healthy for their last game against the Warriors and only scored 103 points, so imagine what they will do tonight with all that firepower not playing, or ailing.

Over their last five games, which McCollum played in four of them, Portland is only averaging 103.3 points per 100 possessions and over their last three games, they are averaging a league-worst 97.6 points per 100 possessions.

The Sharp Pick

Having their team total over 100 points still is an early holiday present that I will gladly accept from the top sportsbooks. Even if they had all their guys tonight, the Warriors’ defense is good enough to hold Portland to under 100 points.

Now with all the injuries and Golden State owning the league’s best home defense, I expect the Warriors to clamp down on Portland in the first three quarters and rest their starters in the fourth.

I would usually play the full game under, but with Portland’s defense also playing like trash, I’m scared the Warriors may drop 125 points. However, regardless of what they do on offense, I can’t see the Blazers getting to more than 95 points here for our NBA pick tonight.

NBA Pick: Trail Blazers Team Total Under 100.5 points (-110) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Trail Blazers Team Total Under 100.5 points (-110)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.