Timberwolves vs. Lakers Expert NBA Betting Analysis and Free Pick

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Malik Beasley #5 of the Minnesota Timberwolves. Harrison Barden/Getty Images/AFP.

With Karl Anthony-Towns and D’Angelo Russell out against the Lakers, can Minnesota find a way to stick around on the road for the Timberwolves? Let’s take a look at the NBA odds and decide which way to lean at BMR’s top-rated sportsbooks.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Los Angeles Lakers

Sunday, January 02, 2022 – 09:30 PM EST at Crypto.com Arena

The Los Angeles Lakers are currently below .500 as they take on the Minnesota Timberwolves at home. For the Lakers, it’s been embarrassing. The duo of Russell Westbrook and LeBron James hasn’t really worked out and with the injury news to Anthony Davis, this Lakers team is struggling. During the offseason, most critics suggested that the Lakers were just adding washed-up players that couldn’t compete anymore. Now it’s literally looking true.

The Lakers have lost three of their last five games and have struggled to put away teams like the Houston Rockets. It’s not LeBron’s fault. He’s scoring 28.6 points per game at 37 years old. But the reality is, he’s got no support and as crunch time gets closer, James hasn’t been very clutch this season, taking bad shots along with the rest of the team. The Timberwolves, on the other hand, have had a good enough turnaround after selecting Anthony Edwards first overall last season. Edwards is back after missing six straight games due to COVID. However, Karl-Anthony Towns and D’Angelo Russell aren’t quite back yet for Minnesota due to having COVID as well.

Right now it’s going to be Edwards and Malik Beasley running the show for the Timberwolves, but I will admit, Minnesota does have a solid bench with a lot of talent. The Timberwolves offense hasn’t been great this season as they’ve shot a 51.1 percent effective field goal percentage. Without Russell and Anthony-Towns, the offense is going to struggle just as much. However, the Lakers haven’t been elite on the offensive end either and could end up turning the ball over a whole lot against a sneaky Minnesota team that produces 17 percent turnovers per game this season. Minnesota is only allowing 109 points per 100 possessions, despite being awful on the defensive glass.

On top of that, the Timberwolves are putting plenty of players on the foul line this season. The Lakers will get their points from quality shots and free throws, but second chance opportunities are still hard to come by for the Lakers. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves could end up getting many second chances in this game, as they average 28.7 percent as a team, but the shot selection is just not there for the Timberwolves this season.

Prediction

Therefore, I like the under in this matchup. I know a lot of Lakers’ games have been high-scoring recently, but Minnesota has been above average in points allowed this season and continues to produce many turnovers against their opponents. The Lakers are the perfect team to earn turnovers against as the Lakers are giving up 15.2 percent turnovers on the season. So I’ll take the under 225 as my NBA pick. knowing the Timberwolves and Lakers are without their key starts for this game. Even LeBron James is listed as questionable at this point.

NBA Pick: Under 225 (-110) via BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Under 225 (-110)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.