Timberwolves vs. Suns Best Bets: Phoenix Will Miss Deandre Ayton

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Deandre Ayton #22 of the Phoenix Suns looks on against the Portland Trail Blazers. Steph Chambers/Getty Images/AFP.

The second game of the NBA on TNT doubleheader on Tuesday features the Minnesota Timberwolves visiting the Phoenix Suns. Which way to lean at the best sportsbooks?

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Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Phoenix Suns

Tuesday, November 1, 2022 – 10:00 PM EDT at Footprint Center

This is the TNT nightcap game on Tuesday following Chicago at Brooklyn. It’s the first of 4 meetings between the Timberwolves and Suns, although they certainly could meet in the postseason.

Phoenix won all 3 meetings against Minnesota last season by an average score of 119.3-112.0. Devin Booker averaged 28.7 points in the series for the Suns, Deandre Ayton 28.5 points and 13.0 rebounds, and Chris Paul 21.0 points and 11.0 assists.

Karl-Anthony Towns, a former No. 1 overall pick like Ayton, averaged 24.3 points and 11.0 rebounds for Minnesota. Anthony Edwards put up 18.3 points and 7.0 rebounds per game.

The Suns are 6-2 against the spread in the past 8 meetings on the NBA picks.

Gobert Leads NBA In Rebounding

Minnesota maybe got caught looking ahead to this game, as it was upset 107-98 at rebuilding San Antonio on Sunday. The Spurs were without starters Jeremy Sochan and Devin Vassell and key reserve Josh Richardson. San Antonio was 16 for 40 on 3-pointers and held the Timberwolves to 23 points in the opening quarter, a season-low for an opponent as well as the lowest output for the Timberwolves.

“They shoot the 3-ball well, they shoot free throws well, they finish at the basket well,” Wolves star Karl-Anthony Towns said. “That’s a recipe for success.”

KAT led Minnesota with 26 points but was minus 22. D’Angelo Russell was really off, shooting 5-for-17 for just 10 points. After missing 4 games with an injury, reserve forward Kyle Anderson returned with 2 points in 13 minutes. He’s listed as questionable for this one. Another reserve, Jordan McLaughlin, sat out with right heel soreness. He’s also questionable for Tuesday.

Offseason trade acquisition Rudy Gobert has an NBA-high 103 rebounds, the most rebounds through 7 games to begin a season in Timberwolves history. He’s the 4th player since 2000 to record 90+ rebounds through his first 6 games with a franchise. When scoring at least 110 points this year, the Wolves are 4-1. When they score less than that, they are 0-2.

The Timberwolves are averaging 14.8 opponent turnovers, tied with the Golden State Warriors for 8th best in the league. The Wolves are the only team in the league to not be outscored by their opponent in the fourth quarter in any of their games. Minnesota is 2-5 ATS on NBA picks in its past 7 when its opponent scores 100 points or more in the previous game.

Suns Without Ayton

A lot of so-called NBA experts thought the Suns would take a pretty big step back this season after leading the league in wins last year, but that hasn’t been the case with Phoenix tied for the West’s best record at 5-1. The Suns are +120 favorites at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review) to win the Pacific Division and +1000 to win the NBA title. The team’s Over/Under win total is 52.5 after a franchise-record 64 last year.

Phoenix won its 4th game in a row Sunday, 124-109 over Houston despite playing without starting center Deandre Ayton. Ayton got hurt Friday when he landed on the foot of Pelicans center Jonas Valanciunas after taking a jump shot. Ayton is averaging 15.4 points and 8.2 rebounds on the year.

“When you look at the play, just one of those plays that should’ve been called a foul,” Phoenix coach Monty Williams said. “Just kind of go from there, but for me, I’m just grateful it wasn’t worse. We will look at it in another week to make sure he’s ready to go.”

Bismack Biyombo started in Ayton’s place against the Rockets and had 5 points, 5 rebounds, and 5 blocks in 22 minutes. Devin Booker scored 30 points on his 26th birthday. He’s off to an MVP-caliber start averaging 29.3 points on 52.9% shooting. His 176 total points through the team’s first 6 games are second in franchise history. Charlie Scott had 185 in 1972-73.

Houston’s second unit was outscored by Phoenix 45-35, including 12-6 in the fourth quarter. The Suns are ranked 11th in bench scoring. Overall, they are No. 2 in the NBA in offensive rating (118.5 points per 100 possessions), 4th in defensive rating (106.2), and 1st in net rating (12.3).

Final Pick

Simulations I have run, have the Suns winning by 4 points, so following the NBA odds, I guess we’ll take the 5. Minnesota will have the size edge with Ayton out.

NBA Pick: Timberwolves +5 (-110) at BetOnline

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Timberwolves +5 (-110)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.