Suns vs. Timberwolves NBA Preview and Best Bet

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Karl-Anthony Towns #32 of the Minnesota Timberwolves. David Berding/Getty Images/AFP.

The Phoenix Suns will play the second of a back-to-back and could be down one of their best players on Monday when they visit the Minnesota Timberwolves. Which way to lean at BMR’s top-rated sportsbooks

Phoenix Suns vs. Minnesota Timberwolves 

Monday, November 15, 2021 – 08:00 PM EST at Target Center 

Mondays are usually a bit slower in the NBA but there are 11 games tonight. It’s the first of three regular-season meetings between the Suns and Timberwolves.  

Last season, the Suns were 2-1 in the series and won easily in their lone visit to the Twin Cities 118-109 behind 43 points from Devin Booker. He averaged 31.3 points, 5.3 assists, and 5.3 rebounds in the three games. Chris Paul averaged 16.0 points and 9.7 assists and Deandre Ayton (more on him below) 14.7 points and 7.7 rebounds. 

Minnesota’s Karl-Anthony Towns averaged 28.7 points and 9.7 rebounds in the series vs. Phoenix and Anthony Edwards 25.7 points and 7.3 rebounds. D’Angelo Russell missed all three games.  

Phoenix has won five of the last six in the series – also going 5-1 against the spread at BMR’s top-rated books -- after Minnesota won eight of the previous 11 before that.  

Suns Likely Without Ayton 

Phoenix won 115-89 in Houston on Sunday playing without star center Deandre Ayton. The former No. 1 overall pick missed a fifth straight game with a right leg contusion. He’s averaging 14.2 points, 11.3 rebounds, and 1.3 steals.  

JaVale McGee started again for him and had 19 points and 14 rebounds, his first double-double of the season. We doubt Ayton plays tonight. Frank Kaminsky also has seen more minutes off the bench with Ayton out and had 6 points and 6 rebounds Sunday.  

Devin Booker led six Suns scoring in double figures with 26 points. Chris Paul had a whopping seven steals (his most in a game since December 2017) and leads the NBA in 2.8 thefts per game. The future Hall of Famer also leads the league in assists per game at 10.4, the only player averaging more than 10 and the most he has averaged since 11.0 in 2008-09.  

It was Phoenix’s eighth straight win, tying its longest regular-season streak since winning 10 in a row from Mach 2010-April 2010. The Suns lead the NBA in shooting at 47 percent and are third in scoring at 112.0 ppg.  

Phoenix is 5-1-1 ATS on NBA picks in its past seven as a road favorite.  

Wolves Aren’t Good 

Minnesota (4-8) upset the Lakers in Los Angeles on Friday but then remembered that it stinks and was blown out the next night in the same building by the Clippers, 129-102. The Wolves were down 70-43 at the half. Sure, it was the second of a back-to-back, but it’s not like the team had to travel.  

Karl-Anthony Towns had perhaps his worst game of the season Saturday with just 8 points on 3-for-11 shooting in 31 minutes. Three of Towns’ five lowest-scoring games of the season have come against the Clippers. This is perhaps my favorite statistic from that game, though: Naz Reid played 14 minutes off the bench and somehow Minnesota managed to be outscored by 28 in that span.  

“I didn’t think that we were extremely competitive at all,” coach Chris Finch. “Then when we got down, we just tried to get home run plays and home run plays and home run plays and they just kept running it back down our throat.” 

This team really should be better with Towns, Anthony Edwards and D’Angelo Russell, but the Wolves only average 104.6 points per game and allow 109.0. Those three guys are not good defenders. Minnesota has won back-to-back games only once this year.  

“I feel like as a team our focus just isn’t in the right place after a win,” Josh Okogie said. “I feel like after we have good performances, we have to be able to put that game behind us and focus on the next one and try to go 1-0 every night.” 

Minnesota is 1-5 ATS in its past six as a home dog. We think that trend continues at the NBA odds. As simulations, I have run Phoenix-winning 112-106.  

NBA Pick: Suns -4 (-110) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Suns -4 (-110)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.