Suns vs. Clippers Top Picks for Sunday: L.A. Looks to Start Season 3-0

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Paul George #13 of the LA Clippers shoots over KZ Okpala #30 of the Sacramento Kings during the game at Golden 1 Center on October 22, 2022. Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images/AFP

The Los Angeles Clippers made sure to rest Kawhi Leonard and John Wall against the Sacramento Kings to have them available for tonight’s matchup against the Phoenix Suns. Can the Clippers earn their third straight win to start the season?

Let’s see what the NBA odds tell us at the top sportsbooks!

Phoenix Suns vs. Los Angeles Clippers

Sunday, October 23, 2022 – 10:00 PM EDT at Crypto.com Arena

The Los Angeles Clippers have started the season 2-0 despite Kawhi Leonard and John Wall not being fully available to begin the year.

They’ll welcome the Phoenix Suns to town for an exciting western conference showdown between two teams that are essentially locked to make the NBA playoffs. Recently, in overtime, the Suns lost to the Portland Trail Blazers, 113-111 and now they’ll be looking to get back on track against the Clippers.

On the other hand, the Clippers defeated the Sacramento Kings, 111-109, without Leonard and Wall. Paul George added 40 points in the win without those two available.

I assume Leonard and Wall will be available for tonight’s game. It’s unclear if either will start, but they’ll likely get minutes on the court.

The Clippers’ Defense Looks Good

The Phoenix Suns have scored 107.5 points per 100 possessions while shooting an effective field goal percentage of 51.1% to start the year. Those are both below-average numbers for the offense. On top of that, the offense has turned the ball over 14.5% of the time, they’ve grabbed 24.7% of offensive rebounds, and are getting to the line at a below-average rate.

The Suns are led by Devin Booker, averaging over 30 points per night.

Meanwhile, the Clippers have been very good defensively through two games. Los Angeles has held their opponents to 102 points per 100 possessions while holding teams to a 48.3% effective field goal percentage. The Clippers won’t earn a heavy turnover rate but have destroyed on the defensive glass, allowing a league-low 18.9% of offensive rebounds to begin the year.

The Clippers also haven’t allowed a high rate of foul shots early on. Those defensive numbers will probably get even better if Leonard and Wall are back.

Will the Clippers Be Any Better Offensively?

However, the Clippers haven’t been as good offensively. They’ve scored just 107 points per 100 possessions. That’s due to a high turnover rate and a low offensive rebound rate.

They’ve turned the ball over 17.5% of the time through two games and have earned just 23% of offensive rebounds. Those are two areas where the Suns should dominate. The Suns have earned 16.7% of turnovers and have allowed just 23.1% of offensive rebounds.

Clippers Getting Good Looks

However, the Clippers are still shooting an effective field goal percentage of 53.8%, while the Suns have allowed a 53.9% effective field goal percentage over the last 30 days. Los Angeles will likely get to the line at a high rate and have a free throw rate of 25.2, while the Suns have allowed a 33.8 free throw rate.

The Clippers will need to limit turnovers and battle better on the glass offensively, but they’ll still get better looks and get to the foul line at a higher rate.

Currently, Paul George leads the team with 27.5 points per game, while Ivica Zubac has earned 12.5 rebounds per game.

Suns vs. Clippers Top Picks

The Clippers have looked better defensively. They’re not going to earn turnovers but they’re going to force bad shots and clean up the glass more times than not. We won’t see the Suns very much at the foul line, but Phoenix will eventually have to force some shots up and hope they get hot.

On the other hand, the Suns will look to take advantage of Los Angeles’ turnovers. They’ll also dominate the defensive glass.

However, there’s a good chance that the Clippers still get some good looks from the floor. There’s also a high probability that the Clippers will earn more shots at the foul line against the Suns.

Final Verdict

At home, I like the Clippers to earn a win against the Suns against the spread. The Suns have looked awful on the offensive end, and on the defensive end, they’re going to give the Clippers too many easy looks, along with more foul shots.

I’ll take the Clippers -2 and the Under 219 for tonight’s game for my NBA picks. The limited possessions for the Clippers due to their turnovers will make this game closer than it should be. But Los Angeles will still come out with the win.

NBA Pick: Under 219 (-110) at BetOnline

NBA Pick: Clippers -2 (-110) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.