Pacers vs. Warriors NBA Odds, Preview and Prediction

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Domantas Sabonis #11 of the Indiana Pacers. Andy Lyons/Getty Images/AFP

Without Myles Turner, the Indiana Pacers look like the right NBA pick for Thursday’s game with the Golden State Warriors.

Indiana Pacers vs. Golden State Warriors

Thursday, January 20, 2022 – 10:00 PM EST at Chase Center

The Indiana Pacers were probably going to break things up anyway. While both Myles Turner and Domantas Sabonis are quality players, having two big men on the floor at the same time just doesn’t seem to work in the modern NBA.

The Pacers are well on their way to the golf course at 16-29 SU and 21-22-2 ATS; they’ll probably be sellers at the February 10th trade deadline, hoping to build a more balanced roster for the road ahead.

As it turns out, this Thursday night we’ll get an early preview of what the new-look Pacers might look like. Turner is out indefinitely after suffering a stress reaction in his left foot; this might be enough to make Indiana the sharp NBA pick when they visit the Golden State Warriors as 11-point underdogs on the overseas lines. Let’s dig deep, peel back the layers, and get to know the real story behind these loveable puppers.

The Bigger They Are

It’s not as if the Pacers don’t have talent or some brilliant basketball minds in the front office. But they might be a bit more tradition-bound than other teams on the NBA odds board. Playing Sabonis (plus-4.4 BPM at Basketball Reference) and Turner (plus-1.8 BPM) together just isn’t cutting it, even if they’re part of a would-be Big Three with point guard Malcolm Brogdon (plus-2.7 BPM).

It starts on defense. Opponents are taking advantage of Indiana’s oversized frontcourt, racking up 109.3 points per 100 possessions; that leaves the Pacers at No. 23 overall in defensive efficiency.

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The offense has been hard to come by, too, although that’s partly because of injuries to multiple key players, including T.J. Warren, who’s still recovering from offseason foot surgery. Indiana has scored 107.2 points per 100 possessions, tied for No. 18 overall with the Dallas Mavericks.

Green Sleeves

Rumor has it that either Warren or Sabonis is on the chopping block ahead of the trade deadline, but now that Warren is out indefinitely, the Pacers will have plenty of time to see what they can do with a smaller lineup.

Early results have been mixed; Indiana lost 139-133 to the Los Angeles Clippers (–2.5) on Monday, then beat the Los Angeles Lakers (–3.5) on Wednesday, both at Arena. Having a team like Golden State (32-12 SU, 25-17-2 ATS) might make the difference for the Pacers and our NBA picks.

The Warriors are on a bit of a skid at 2-3 SU and ATS since they welcomed Klay Thompson back to the fold; Thompson (plus-2.9 BPM) has already found his footing, but without Draymond Green (plus-4.0 BPM) and others in the lineup, the Dubs are vulnerable – and indeed, the fine folks at FiveThirtyEight only project them to win by eight points, not 11. For your best bets, bet accordingly, and may the sphere be with you.

NBA Pick: Pacers +11 (-110) with BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Pacers +11 (-110)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.