Nets vs. Heat NBA Odds, Preview and Pick

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Kyrie Irving #11 of the Brooklyn Nets. Justin Ford/Getty Images/AFP

Kevin Durant, Kyrie Irving and the Brooklyn Nets visit Jimmy Butler and the Miami Heat in a very entertaining potential playoff preview on Saturday night. Here’s a complete preview, including betting odds and free NBA picks.

Brooklyn Nets vs. Miami Heat

Saturday, March 26, 2022 – 08:00 PM EDT at FTX Arena

The Nets opened at -3.5 at BetAnySports (visit our BetAnySports Review) and FiveThirtyEight have them at +3.5 giving them a 36 percent chance to win. BetAnySports set the total at 230 in their NBA odds board.

The gap between the projections and the actual odds is significant but it makes no sense, FiveThirtyEight probably made it before the Heat's game against the Knicks last night and they haven't updated it.

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A Heat Civil War? Offense = Defense for the Nets?

My two cents on Jimmy Butler's altercation with head coach Erik Spoelstra and teammate Udonis Haslem after the Heat allowed a 19-0 run to a short-handed Warriors squad in a 118-104 home loss on Wednesday? While the Heat rarely show their hand, you really can't think that this group has never gone at it before. If you think that you don't have an understanding of their makeup.

Sometimes this sort of thing can be a good thing. Sometimes brothers have to fight, hold each other accountable and get ready for the playoffs. That said, the Heat (47-27 SU, 40-33-1 ATS) lost back-to-back games against the 76ers without Embiid and Harden and against the Warriors without Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson this week, which shouldn't have happened, especially now that they're trying to keep first place in the Eastern Conference and hosting the Nets with Kyrie and KD won't be easy.

The Nets (38-35 SU, 30-41-2 ATS) live and die by their ability to put up a bunch of points efficiently. A lot has been said about the Brooklyn defense since last year but you have to understand that their offense is their defense. They manipulate the flow and pace of the games with their offensive tempo and their opponents have to keep up.

Whoever faces the Nets ends up not playing defense, as their system is set up so they run the opposing team out the gym. The Nets turn games into shootouts with the hopes that they will score more efficiently than their opponent. The downfall is that the other team's scorers can get hot, just like it happened on Wednesday's 132-120 road loss against the Grizzlies.

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How to Bet This Game

The Heat failed to get back on track after a disappointing 111-103 home loss against the Knicks, without Julius Randle, last night. To make matters worse now they host the Nets, which are a much tougher opponent. This game is the one that will tell us if the incident against the Warriors was just what this team needed to wake up or if it will be an issue moving forward.

For now, it seems that it's a bigger issue than originally expected. Either way, the Nets are rested and motivated because they know that Kyrie Irving (plus-4.6 Box Plus/Minus) will be able to play in their home games from now on while the Heat are playing in the second game of a back-to-back and keeping up with this Brooklyn offense is demanding. Miami has failed to cover the spread in six straight games and I can't trust them right now.

NBA Pick: Nets -3.5 (-115) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Nets -3.5 (-115)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.