NBA Player Props for November 21: Why Myles Turner Will Have a Magical Night

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Myles Turner #33 of the Indiana Pacers attempts a shot while being guarded by Jalen Suggs #4 of the Orlando Magic. Dylan Buell/Getty Images/AFP.

A new week means new opportunities to continue to beat the market on NBA player props.

I’ve dived into tonight’s 8 game slate and circled three more opportunities to cash more winning NBA picks.

Orlando Magic vs. Indiana Pacers

Monday, November 21, 2022 – 07:00 PM EST at Gainbridge Fieldhouse

Myles Turner (Indiana Pacers)

  • Over 17.5 Points (-107)

Myles Turner has been on a mission since returning to health this season. Although he knows his future probably isn't with the Indiana Pacers, he has been auditioning for other teams. However, this audition has turned into wins for the Pacers, and maybe he and the only team he has ever played for can find a way to make things work.

Regardless of Turner's future, we can expect big things from him tonight. Turner has been a leading cog in the Pacers' core this season, and he will face little to no resistance against the Magic's young, inexperienced big men. Turner is an NBA vet who knows how to beat teams, either from behind the three-point line or down low if he gets a mismatch.

The Pacers and their guards should be keen to exploit this matchup with Turner playing against the inexperienced Magic big men tonight.

Turner has gone over this number in 3 of the last 5 games he played. The only times he failed to go over was when he failed to play 30 minutes; and even in one 27-minute outing, he did score 19. So even on shorter minutes, Turner is being effective with his opportunities.

The Prop Pick

This is a great matchup for Myles Turner who had 20 points when the Pacers played Orlando two nights ago.

I expected even bigger results from Turner tonight, as he continues to feast on the Magic's young frontcourt.

Our first player prop for tonight is Myles Turner Over 17.5 points.

NBA Prop Pick: Myles Turner Over 17.5 Points (-107) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Portland Trail Blazers vs. Milwaukee Bucks

Monday, November 21, 2022 - 08:00 PM EST at Fiserv Forum

Anfernee Simons (Portland Trail Blazers)

  • Under 4.5 3-Point Field Goals Made (-150)

The Portland Trail Blazers have been buoyed by the emergence of Anfernee Simons this season. Simons' emergence made CJ McCollum expendable, and the addition of Josh Hart with the blossoming of Simons has been crucial to the Trail Blazers' move back into contention this season.

We had heard reports for years that Simons was doing great in practice, but now all the hard work is translating into the games. Simons has been a fantastic player for the Trail Blazers so far this year.

However, because Simons has been going over his prop total on 3-point field goals made consistently when it was set at 3.5, now it has moved to a too-high 4.5. Against the Milwaukee Bucks of old, this would have been something we would have targeted. But this season, upon watching the Bucks, you can see their newfound commitment to running opponents off the 3-point line.

This is likely a reaction to the fact that the Boston Celtics were able to shoot their way past the Bucks in last year's playoff series. The Bucks know they can no longer be vulnerable on the 3-point line with the multitude of 3-point marksmen who have emerged around the NBA this season.

So, here we have an inflated number against a team with a newfound commitment to pressure 3-point shots. The 3-pointers made are such a big move. For example, moving it from 3.5 to 4.5 is huge; compared to say adding 3 points to a player's point prop total. Therefore, we have found an edge here. Although the juice is high, the situation warrants laying the number.

The Prop Pick

Anfernee Simons is a great player that I've enjoyed watching this season.

However, his recent success has pushed his total too high for 3-point field goals made and we will take advantage of this against the defense of the Milwaukee Bucks.

Following the NBA odds, our second player prop for tonight is Anfernee Simons Under 4.5 3-point field goals made.

NBA Prop Pick: Anfernee Simons Under 4.5 3-Point Field Goals Made (-150) at BetOnline

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Boston Celtics vs. Chicago Bulls

Monday, November 21, 2022 - 08:00 PM EST at United Center

Nikola Vucevic (Chicago Bulls)

  • Over 10.5 Rebounds (-132)

The Boston Celtics and Chicago Bulls will play in one of tonight's premier games. These two storied franchises will renew their rivalry tonight in the United Center. The Boston Celtics have continued where they left off last season, at an absolutely scorching pace. Even with the loss of center Robert Williams and last year's coach Ime Udoka, the Celtics have continued to win and do so in an inspiring fashion.

The Celtics will overwhelm you with their multitude of great wings and perimeter players. This should give Vucevic an opportunity down low to corral rebounds against Al Horford, who is not a strong rebounder. Vucevic should have plenty of uncontested defensive rebounds, especially on free throw misses.

The Celtics do not crash the offensive boards, rather they concentrate on getting all 5 men back in transition to avoid easy 3-point buckets for the other team off their own missed shots. So many of Vucevic's rebounds tonight will be uncontested, but that's fine with me, they still count on the stat sheet.

The Chicago Bulls will need Vucevic to be strong down low tonight against the Boston Celtics team that is much stronger than they are on the perimeter. The Bulls will need to press one of their few advantages, and that will be in the paint. If the Bulls can press this advantage they can keep it close and maybe make a statement win against the Eastern Conference's best team.

The Prop Pick

We will see Nikola Vucevic have a huge game in the paint tonight. His ability to corral rebounds will be on display when he goes over this rebound prop.

Our final bet for tonight is Nikola Vucevic Over 10.5 rebounds at the best sportsbooks.

If you're an Ilinois resident looking to bet on the Chicago Bulls, remember you can find the best Ilinois betting guides at BMR.

NBA Prop Pick: Nikola Vucevic Over 10.5 Rebounds (-132) at BetOnline

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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.