With so many games on the NBA slate, I’ve added my favorite three NBA picks.
Which bet are you tailing at the best sportsbooks?
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Philadelphia 76ers
Friday, November 18, 2022 – 07:30 PM EST at Wells Fargo Center
The Milwaukee Bucks won’t have Jrue Holiday, Khris Middleton, Wesley Matthews, or Pat Connaughton. That’s why they’re underdogs on the road, despite being 11-3 on the season. Meanwhile, the 76ers will still be without James Harden and Furkan Korkmaz. Both teams are going through the injury bug right now.
The 76ers have played solid defense this season, allowing just 110.6 points per 100 possessions. However, Philadelphia has struggled a little bit on the glass, allowing 27.4% of offensive rebounds.
The 76ers are also giving up a 22.3 free throw rate, which is 23rd in the NBA. Milwaukee won’t get great looks, but there’s a high chance that they’ll end up earning more shots and opportunities offensively in this game.
Meanwhile, Milwaukee is holding teams to 105.9 points per 100 possessions. They’re also limiting teams to a 50.1% effective field goal percentage. Both of those numbers are the best in the NBA.
The 76ers are an average group offensively but they’ve only earned 21.4% offensive rebounds. They’re going to get worse looks and fewer opportunities.
The Moneyline Pick
Philadelphia is usually very good at getting to the line but they’ll take on a Bucks team that has only allowed a defensive free throw rate of 17.8. That’s second-best in the league.
So as long as Giannis Antetokounmpo is available, I’m backing the Bucks on the road.
Boston Celtics vs. New Orleans Pelicans
Friday, November 18, 2022 - 08:30 PM EST at Smoothie King Center
The Celtics are currently one of the best offenses in the league. They’re facing a tough defense tonight in New Orleans, but should still be able to do their thing.
The Celtics have won every game in November since the 4th. They’ve scored 117 or more in every game but one. In that game where they didn’t score 117, they still added 109 in a 109-106 win over Memphis. The Celtics aren’t going to dominate the offensive glass, but they’ll continue to get really good looks on the floor.
On the other hand, the Pelicans are also above-average offensively. They’ll limit turnovers against a Boston team that has earned just 12.4% of turnovers this season.
With less turnovers comes more shots and with more shots comes more points. The Pelicans are scoring 116 points per 100 possessions, which is fifth in the league this season.
New Orleans has won four of its last five games. In those games, they’ve scored at least 113 points and have allowed every team to score 100 in each game that they’ve played.
The Over/Under Pick
Points will be scored at the Smoothie King Center.
NBA Pick: Over 227 (-110) at BetOnline
New York Knicks vs. Golden State Warriors
Friday, November 18, 2022 - 10:00 PM EST at Chase Center
The Knicks have actually been very good on their West coast road trip. New York defeated Utah and Denver in back-to-back nights to go 2-0 on their road trip. Now they’re looking to add a win against the former champions, the Golden State Warriors.
The Warriors aren’t anything like they were last year. They’re currently 6-9 on the season and just lost two of their last three games. Golden State is better at home, but the Knicks should be able to keep things close.
The Knicks are scoring 113 points per 100 possessions. Meanwhile, the Warriors have allowed 113.7 points per 100 possessions. Golden State isn’t great on the defensive glass and the Warriors continue to foul teams to the foul line at a high rate.
The Warriors should be able to earn solid offense, but they won’t get to the foul line as much as the Knicks and likely won’t earn as many offensive rebounds as the Knicks.
Golden State has even turned the ball over 16.1% of the time this season. They’re elite at getting good looks but shooting the good looks doesn’t happen every possession.
The Spread Pick
Following the NBA odds, let’s take the Knicks with the seven points.
They’ve kept each game against West coast teams close and should do that again versus the Warriors, who are pretty much overrated this year because of their championship last year.
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.