NBA Daily Picks: Can Phoenix Suns Earn Home Win vs. Golden State Warriors?

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Devin Booker #1 of the Phoenix Suns drives the ball against James Wiseman #33 of the Golden State Warriors. Christian Petersen/Getty Images/AFP.

With so much action, it was hard to narrow it all down. But we finally found the sweet spot and our favorite three bets. Which bet are you tailing at the best sportsbooks?

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Miami Heat vs. Toronto Raptors

Wednesday, November 16, 2022 – 07:30 PM EST at Scotiabank Arena

Teams Analysis

Miami Heat

The Heat and Raptors are dealing with many injuries and illnesses. The Raptors could be without Fred VanVleet due to an illness, while Gary Trent Jr. is also questionable with a hip injury. Additionally, Otto Porter Jr. is already ruled out with a toe dislocation.

On the other hand, Omer Yurtseven and Tyler Herro are not even with the team right now due to their injuries. Dewayne Dedmon and Bam Adebayo are also currently questionable for tonight’s game. So there’s that. This game could be all over the place with backups playing a ton of minutes.

Miami was 4-7 just a week ago. Now they’re 7-7 with a three-game win streak. Meanwhile, the Raptors are just 8-7 after losing 3 of their last 5.

The Heat should get to the foul line at a high rate and will get open looks from the floor, with the Raptors struggling to defend. The Raptors have allowed an effective field goal percentage of 54.9% and a free throw rate of 22.9.

Toronto Raptors

Although Toronto is good at forcing turnovers, Miami’s limited turnovers to just 13.9%. If the Heat can keep the turnovers down, they’ll get good looks, get to the foul line, and have more shot attempts in the game.

Meanwhile, the Raptors only shoot a 51.3% effective field goal percentage. They’ve done everything so well but take good shots. Also, they’ve limited turnovers to 13.2% and have earned over 31% of offensive rebounds, but the Raptors surely won’t get to the foul line as much as the Heat.


The Moneyline Pick

That’s likely the difference in this game. For this reason, let's take the Heat at -125 for our NBA picks.

NBA Pick: Heat ML (-125) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Heat ML (-125)
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Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Washington Wizards

Wednesday, November 16, 2022 - 07:00 PM EST at Capital One Arena

Teams Analysis

Washington Wizards

The Washington Wizards are on a four-game winning streak. They scored at least 102 points in those last four games. But they’re simply an average defense at best.

The Wizards have struggled to earn turnovers, producing just 12.6% of turnovers per game. That’s the 29th-best in the league.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Therefore, the Thunder should be able to limit turnovers and earn more shot opportunities, giving them more points.

Washington’s been excellent on the defensive glass and has held opponents to 111.9 points per 100 possessions, but the Thunder will still score 111.5 points per 100 possessions. They’ll stick to their average offensively.

On the other hand, Washington has struggled on the offensive glass, but like the Thunder, they’ve held onto the ball. They’ve also shot a 52.8% effective field goal percentage, which is still below average. But the Thunder play fast. One team has scored at least 126 points in each of their last 4 games.

The Thunder lost to the Celtics, 126-122, last time out but beat the Knicks, 145-135 before that. Before the Knicks, the Thunder scored 132 on Toronto in a 132-113 win.


The Over/Under Pick

Following the NBA odds, let’s ride the Thunder’s offense. They’ve been hot.

NBA Pick: Over 227 (-110) at BetOnline

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Over 227 (-110)
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Golden State Warriors vs. Phoenix Suns

Wednesday, November 16, 2022 - 10:00 PM EST at Footprint Center

Teams Analysis

Golden State Warriors

The Golden State Warriors won the NBA Championship last year, but now they’re sitting at 6-8 through the first 14 games of the year.

On the road, they’ll also be underdogs against the Phoenix Suns for tonight’s matchup.

The Warriors have scored 114.9 points per 100 possessions this season. They’re also shooting a 57% effective field goal percentage. That’s helped them a lot throughout this first stretch of games because the Warriors have turned the ball over 16.1% of the time while earning just 24.1% of offensive rebounds.

The Warriors also rarely get to the foul line, with a rate of 18.9.

Phoenix Suns

The Suns should be able to earn a whole bunch of turnovers, even without Chris Paul in the lineup.

Plus, the offense has been in cruise control, scoring 116.1 points per 100 possessions. They’ve limited turnovers to 13.5% and have earned 29.1% of offensive rebounds.

Phoenix should earn more offensive rebounds and second chances. Like the Warriors, the Suns don’t get to the foul line very much, but both defenses foul at a high rate.


The Spread Pick

This game could go either way with the fouling.

But the Suns should still earn extra possessions, which will allow them to earn a win in this game against the Warriors on ESPN.

NBA Pick: Suns -2 (-110) at BetOnline

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Suns -2 (-110)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.