NBA Daily Picks: Can Bucks Earn Win Without Giannis?

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With eight games on Friday night, we’ve listed our favorite moneyline, total, and spread bets.

Which NBA picks are you tailing at the best sportsbooks?

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Phoenix Suns vs. Orlando Magic

Friday, November 11, 2022 – 07:00 PM EST at Amway Center

The Phoenix Suns could be without Chris Paul for tonight’s game, but that wouldn’t hurt their chances in this game against the Orlando Magic.

The Suns score 116.6 points per 100 possessions while shooting an effective field goal percentage of 54.7%. They’ve also limited turnovers at a high rate and should have no problems keeping it that way against a Magic team that is bottom-five defensively in turnover percentage.

The Magic have limited fouls and are solid on the offensive glass, but the Suns should be able to get high-quality looks throughout the game. The Suns will still ultimately earn a couple of offensive rebounds here and there and find the foul line as well.

Meanwhile, the Magic are scoring 110.1 points per 100 possessions. They’ve been the opposite of the Suns, turning the ball over 16.8% of the time. On the other hand, the Suns have earned 17.2% turnovers and held teams to just 107.6 points per 100 possessions.

The Spread Pick

The only opportunity for the Magic to stick around in this game is by getting to the foul line. But with Paolo Banchero questionable for tonight’s game, the Magic could lack much star power coming into this game.

The Magic are shooting a 53.7% effective field goal percentage and average on the offensive glass.

Therefore, I’m going to ride with the Suns on the road, against the spread, in this one. The Suns have been one of the best defenses this year and should have enough success offensively to earn the cover.

NBA Pick: Suns -7 (-110) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Suns -7 (-110)
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Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Golden State Warriors

Friday, November 11, 2022 - 10:00 PM EST at Chase Center

The Cleveland Cavaliers have been extremely good offensively, scoring 117.2 points per 100 possessions with an effective field goal percentage of 56.3%. Both of those numbers are top-five in the NBA.

On the other hand, the Warriors have allowed 115.3 points per 100 possessions while giving up an effective field goal percentage of 54.3%. Even worse is Golden State’s free throw rate on the defensive end, which is 26.6. That’s the highest rate in the NBA this season.

The Cavs are getting to the line at a top-ten rate and should keep that up heading into tonight’s game. Also, don’t be surprised when Cleveland dominates the offensive glass and earns 2nd opportunities.

Meanwhile, the Cavs are very good defensively. They’ve limited offensive rebounds, but likely won’t force as many turnovers as most teams have against the Warriors. The Warriors are also top-ten in points per 100 possessions and are shooting an effective field goal percentage of 56.4%.

The Over/Under Pick

The Warriors are good enough offensively to stick around against Cleveland. They’ll likely see the foul line at a high rate, knowing Cleveland is 23rd in the NBA in free throw rate defensively.

So following the NBA odds, let’s take the Over 228.5 in this game.

NBA Pick: Over 228.5 (-110) at BetOnline

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Over 228.5 (-110)
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Milwaukee Bucks vs. San Antonio Spurs

Friday, November 11, 2022 - 08:00 PM EST at AT&T Center

I know Jrue Holiday and Giannis Antetokounmpo aren’t playing in this game, but are we supposed to believe that the San Antonio Spurs are still the better team in this game?

The Spurs allow 118.2 points per 100 possessions and an effective field goal percentage of 57.3%. San Antonio has also allowed 30.2% of offensive rebounds. All of those numbers are bottom-three in the NBA. Any capable NBA player should have success against this Spurs' defense, no matter who is playing.

Meanwhile, the Bucks are still 1st in points per 100 possessions defensively and have held teams to a 49.4% effective field goal percentage. Milwaukee also has limited foul shots and continues to dominate the defensive glass.

Those two-star players are part of the reason for Milwaukee’s success, but they’re only 40% of the starting lineup. The other guys deserve some credit too.

The Moneyline Pick

Give me Milwaukee as the underdog.

NBA Pick: Bucks (+110) at BetOnline

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Bucks (+110)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.