There are many intriguing matchups for today’s NBA slate. Find out where I see value below.
Brooklyn Nets vs. Memphis Grizzlies
Monday, October 24, 2022 – 08:00 PM EDT at FedExForum
The Brooklyn Nets are coming off their first win of the season on Friday, with a win over the Toronto Raptors, 109-105. Now they’ll take on a Memphis Grizzlies team that is currently 2-1.
The Grizzlies are an intriguing team with tons of young talent. Meanwhile, the Nets have the best roster in the NBA regarding talent. But talent doesn’t always win.
The Grizzlies have only turned the ball over 13.2% of the time and have allowed 33.8% of offensive rebounds. Memphis has allowed 118.1 points per 100 possessions and has given up a 52.8% effective field goal percentage.
If the Nets limit turnovers and earn more offensive rebounds, they’ll put together some solid offense behind Kevin Durant, who has averaged 29.5 points per game through two games.
On the flip side, the Nets have been dreadful defensively, allowing 120.9 points per 100 possessions. However, they’re facing a Grizzlies team that only shoots an effective field goal percentage of 51.2%.
The Nets score 110.8 points per 100 possessions while shooting an effective field goal percentage of 53.4%. They’ve been average in all other factors, including turnover percentage, offensive rebounding percentage, and free throw rate.
The turnover and offensive rebound percentages could improve after tonight’s game.
The Nets have allowed 37.6% of offensive rebounds, while the Grizzlies have earned 34% of offensive rebounds. That’s where Memphis can catch the Nets off guard.
Ja Morant has led the Grizzlies with 34.3 points per game on 54.8% from the field. He’s been tremendous. But Memphis still isn’t shooting a high percentage from the field as a team.
I like the Nets’ chances at earning a bunch of offensive rebounds to counter the Grizzlies. I’ll take the Nets in this spot.
Orlando Magic vs. New York Knicks
Monday, October 24, 2022 - 07:30 PM EDT at Madison Square Garden
The Magic are currently 0-3 to begin the year, despite first-overall pick Paolo Banchero averaging 23.3 points per game.
The Magic have scored just 108.6 points per 100 possessions while shooting an effective field goal percentage of 52.7%.
The Magic are an average offense that just hasn’t been clutch. They’ve lost each of their first three games by 10 points or fewer. They’re not getting blown out.
New York Knicks
Meanwhile, the Knicks are currently top-five in defensive points per 100 possessions and effective field goal percentage.
They’ve also kept teams off the line at a very high rate. New York isn’t dominating the defensive glass, but the Magic aren’t real threats on the glass either.
The Knicks have kept turnovers down to 11.9% but are still shooting an effective field goal percentage of 52%, which is the 20th-best in the league.
They’re also not getting to the line at a high rate. They’re 29th in the league in that category.
The one thing that the Magic do well defensively is rebounding. But the Knicks will give the Magic a challenge on the offensive glass.
The Magic are ninth in defensive rebounding, while the Knicks rank ninth in offensive rebounding.
The Knicks aren’t shooting high-percentage looks and rarely getting to the line.
The Magic won’t find better looks against a good Knicks defense. I’m on the Under for my NBA picks.
NBA Pick: Under 218.5 (-110) at BetOnline
Utah Jazz vs. Houston Rockets
Monday, October 24, 2022 - 08:00 PM EDT at Toyota Center
The Utah Jazz are 3-0, while the Houston Rockets are 0-3. Yet, the Rockers are favored. I’m hopping on the Jazz train.
They traded away Donovan Mitchell and Rudy Gobert but brought in a ton of depth. In the NBA, we’re starting to recognize that depth matters.
The Jazz have another starting lineup coming off their bench, including some outstanding players like Collin Sexton. Lauri Markkanen has averaged 24 points per game for the Jazz and is leading the team.
Utah has scored 117.3 points per 100 possessions. They’ve dominated the glass. They’re also shooting a 54.3% effective field goal percentage.
The Rockets are a bottom-five team in points per 100 possessions, effective field goal percentage, and turnover percentage on the defensive end.
The Rockets are also bottom-five in offensive points per 100 possessions and effective field goal percentage.
The Rockets will have to watch out for Utah’s turnover potential on the defensive end. I’ll ride the Utah train for now.
NBA Pick: Jazz +1 (-110) at BetOnline
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.