NBA Daily Picks: Best Spread, Moneyline and Total for Wednesday

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Luka Doncic #77 of the Dallas Mavericks handles the ball against Chris Paul #3 of the Phoenix Suns. Christian Petersen/Getty Images/AFP.

Basketball is back, which means it’s time for another year of profitable NBA picks. Here are the tastiest bets on Wednesday’s menu.

Thank the basketball gods, the NBA is back. The first games of the 2022-23 regular season tipped off Tuesday night, and we couldn’t be happier here at the ranch, this is our favorite sport to bet on, right? Everyone’s nodding in agreement.

As usual, we’ll be looking at the most respected free-to-use projections on the interwebs, then we’ll deviate as necessary when the situation on the ground calls for it. And we’ve got a humdinger of a game to start us off, so let’s get right to it, boppers.

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Dallas Mavericks vs. Phoenix Suns

Wednesday, October 19, 2022 – 10:00 PM EDT at Footprint Center

This could easily end up being a preview of the Western Conference Finals. And it’s the nightcap of Wednesday’s ESPN double-header, so (just about) everyone can watch along at home.

Teams Analysis

Dallas Mavericks

FiveThirtyEight projects the Mavericks to win 50 games this year, a shade better than their 48.5-win total at Bovada (visit our Bovada Review).

They’ve got the MVP favorite in Luka Dončić, and they’ve beefed up their frontcourt with centers Christian Wood and JaVale McGee, but can the Mavs recover from the loss of emerging point guard Jalen Brunson to free agency?

Phoenix Suns

The Suns are expected to take a step back this year, checking in at 49 wins on the FiveThirtyEight projections, well behind their 52.5-win total on Bovada’s NBA odds board.

However, their starting five should be better with Cameron Johnson replacing Jae Crowder at power forward, and Dario Šarić will back Johnson up now that he’s healthy again.

The Pick

We’re going against the projections a bit here, with FiveThirtyEight preferring Phoenix by just 2.5 points, but this is their home opener as well as their season-opener, and even with McGee switching sides, the Suns haven’t been this deep in a while. Enjoy it while it lasts.

NBA Pick: Suns -4.5 (-108) at Heritage Sports (visit our Heritage Sports Review)

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Suns -4.5 (-108)
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Chicago Bulls vs. Miami Heat

Wednesday, October 19, 2022 – 07:30 PM EDT at FTX Arena

There’s only one moneyline worth betting Wednesday night, and it’s for this intriguing battle between two Eastern hopefuls with something to prove.

Teams Analysis

Chicago Bulls

Not having Lonzo Ball (knee) for at least the next few months leaves the Bulls projected for a mere 35 wins, nowhere near their total of 41.5. There’s a chance Zach LaVine (knee) misses Wednesday’s game, too, leaving Chicago’s backcourt perilously thin.

Miami Heat

They won the East 2 years ago, then traded for Kyle Lowry, and that didn’t go quite as well as hoped. Can Lowry stay healthy and help Miami reach its 51-win projection? If you think so, Over 49.5 is a decent bet at even money, but the Heat won’t have SG Victor Oladipo (knee) for this matchup.

The Pick

This is another home-opener for Miami, but you have to dig up your moneyline value where you can – and the Bulls still have a lot to offer. Did you see Andre Drummond stroking all those 3-pointers during the preseason? Yikes.

NBA Pick: Bulls (+215) at Bookmaker (visit our Bookmaker Review)

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Bulls (+215)
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New Orleans Pelicans vs. Brooklyn Nets

Wednesday, October 19, 2022 – 07:30 PM EDT at Barclays Center

Imagine that Spider-Man meme, but it’s two Frankenstein monsters pointing at each other. That’s what we’ve got on tap for this one, and it will play heavily into our betting picks.

Teams Analysis

New Orleans Pelicans

Zion Williamson. That’s the analysis. Okay, the Pellies also project to go 42-40, which is worse than their 44.5-point total, but that includes a certain number of missed games for Williamson. He’s healthy at the moment, and he’s part of a quality starting five that includes CJ McCollum at point guard.

Brooklyn Nets

Speaking of health, this will be the first time we get to see Kevin Durant, Kyrie Irving, and Ben Simmons playing together. But that Big Three is only good enough for 45 wins, according to FiveThirtyEight, so you might want to bet Under 50.5. Also, both PG Seth Curry (ankle) and SG Joe Harris (foot) are out Wednesday.

The Pick

There’s been a big rush of early money on the Over at the top-rated sportsbooks, pushing the total up 4 points from 226.5 points at the open.

We’re gladly recommending the Under at this new price, which makes this the best value of all the bets on our list, but you might want to wait for an even better price closer to tip-off. Time your wagers accordingly, and may the sphere be with you all season long.

NBA Pick: Under 230.5 (-110) at Bovada

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Under 230.5 (-110)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.