Mavericks vs. Suns Betting Preview for Thursday: Can Phoenix Extend Their Winning Streak to 5?

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Luka Doncic #77 of the Dallas Mavericks attempts to pass the ball around Mikal Bridges #25 of the Phoenix Suns. Christian Petersen/Getty Images/AFP.

NBA Pick: Suns -1.5 (-110) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Suns -1.5 (-110)
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The Phoenix Suns are trending upward with four straight wins. Meanwhile, the Dallas Mavericks are trending in the opposite direction, with four losses in their last five games. Can the Suns take care of business at home?

Let’s see what the NBA odds tell us at the best US betting sites!

Dallas Mavericks vs. Phoenix Suns

Thursday, January 26, 2023 – 10:00 PM EST at Footprint Center

The Dallas Mavericks will hit the road to take on the Phoenix Suns in an exciting West Coast matchup on TNT.

The Suns won the first meeting, 107-105, at home. However, the Mavericks responded in the second game, earning a 130-111 win in their home. The Suns are favorites tonight, with the game scheduled in Arizona. The Mavericks have lost four of their last five games, and the Suns have reeled off four consecutive wins.

Will that trend continue in tonight’s game? Here are our NBA picks and predictions for Thursday’s NBA matchup between the Dallas Mavericks and Phoenix Suns.

Will the Mavs' Offense Get Hot?

The Dallas Mavericks are still one of the best offenses in the NBA. The squad has scored 116.8 points per 100 possessions while shooting an effective field goal percentage of 56.7%.

The Mavs also have limited turnovers to 12.7% and continue to get to the foul line at a very high rate. Dallas won’t dominate the offensive glass or earn a lot of second chances, but they’re a top-five offense in every other essential category.

Meanwhile, the Suns should have Deandre Ayton back in the lineup tonight. Ayton missed the last game due to an illness. He’s listed as probable and should at least help the Suns’ defense somewhat.

Phoenix has allowed 113.8 points per 100 possessions. They’ve also limited teams to a 54% effective field goal percentage. The Suns have earned over 15% of turnovers, and while they haven’t dominated the defensive glass, again, having Ayton should at least help the Suns keep Dallas away from the boards.

Still, the Suns foul at a high rate, and the Mavericks get to the line at a high rate. The Mavericks should be able to clean up at the foul line, and as long as they limit turnovers, they’ll score at a solid rate too.

Are the Suns Finally Back?

Phoenix is still missing Devin Booker, but after winning four straight games, Phoenix is feeling it.

The Suns have scored 114.2 points per 100 possessions and have shot an effective field goal percentage of 53.7%. The Suns aren’t dominating offensively this season but are incredibly effective on the offensive glass, earning 29.4% of offensive rebounds.

The Suns will need those second chances as they rarely get to the foul line on a game-to-game basis. However, the Mavericks foul at the highest rate in the NBA, with a 23.7 free throw rate on the defensive end. The Suns could end up getting to the foul line more, especially with being the home team.

Dallas has allowed 115.9 points per 100 possessions while giving up an effective field goal percentage of 55%. The Mavericks are only average on the defensive glass and earn below 14% of turnovers.

The Suns should be able to earn more second chances, and while shots might not fall at the highest rate, the offense will likely see more foul shot opportunities to make up for it.

Betting Preview

The Suns are coming off four straight wins. All four of those games were at home against solid opponents, including the Grizzlies, in a 112-110 win. The Suns have played much better defense, never giving up more than 112 points in any of those four games. Meanwhile, the Mavericks have allowed at least 127 points in three of their last four losses. The defense has truly struggled outside of their one game against the Miami Heat that they won.

The Suns should be active on the offensive glass and will earn more foul shots than normal, knowing how much the Mavericks enjoy fouling. Dallas is also a terrific offense, but that offense isn’t good enough if the defense can’t do its part. They’ve lost games by ridiculous scores.

The Mavericks lost to the Trail Blazers, 140-123. They lost to the Hawks by giving up 130 in a 130-122 loss. The Clippers added 112 in a 112-98 defeat against the Mavericks. And just recently, the Mavericks lost to the Wizards, 127-126, because of a dumb foul.

So let’s take the Suns at -1.5 to keep their winning streak alive. The Mavericks look lost on the defensive end.

For Phoenix residents looking to bet on this game, you can do it at our top Arizona betting sites.

NBA Pick: Suns -1.5 (-110) at BetOnline

*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.