Knicks vs. Timberwolves NBA Preview and Best Bet

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Patrick Beverley #22 of the Minnesota Timberwolves. David Berding/Getty Images/AFP

The Minnesota Timberwolves minus Karl-Anthony Towns equals a sharp NBA pick for Tuesday’s tilt with the New York Knicks.

New York Knicks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves

Tuesday, December 28, 2021- 8:00 PM EST at Target Center

Well, phooey. Only one of the five Christmas Day games went Under the posted total on the NBA odds board – but fittingly enough, it was the earliest game. The New York Knicks beat the Atlanta Hawks 101-87 (Under 206.5) at Madison Square Garden, in a matchup that started at the crack of noon.

We hope you bumped up your bet size for that one compared to the others. Sadly for us, Tuesday’s game at the Tar-Zhay between the Knicks (15-18 SU, 14-19 ATS) and the Minnesota Timberwolves (16-17 SU, 17-16 ATS) starts at 8:00 p.m. New York time and the Over went 6-3 on Sunday, with the totals dropping like a stone since the first few highly profitable days of the omicron wave.

We’re still waiting for official odds at press time; all we have is the overseas spread, where the Knicks opened as 5.5-point favorites. Maybe now’s still a good time to get those Wolves back in our NBA picks.

Five Good Reasons

The timing might seem a bit odd considering how many players Minnesota have under protocol: eight, including their entire, starting five of Karl-Anthony Towns, D'Angelo Russell, Patrick Beverley, Anthony Edwards, and Jarred Vanderbilt.

But the Wolves didn’t need any of those players Monday night when they beat the Boston Celtics 108-103 as 5-point home dogs. Losing Karl-Anthony Towns (plus-5.3 BPM at Basketball Reference) may have been enough to bump Minnesota into our “fade/follow” lane – you know, the angle where we fade the team with the missing superstar.

The Utah Jazz moved from –9.5 to –15.5 for last Thursday’s game against the Wolves after Towns went into the protocol, which certainly seems like a classic over-reaction by the betting public. Final score: Minnesota 116, Utah 128.

Derrick And The Dominoes

The Knicks don’t have nearly as many players in the protocol as Minnesota; only Nerlens Noel and Miles McBride are on the list as we go to press. But New York also won’t have one of their best players for the next couple of months.

Derrick Rose (plus-2.0 BPM) had surgery on his troublesome right ankle last week, and while this has opened the door for the rightful return of Kemba Walker (plus-2.5 BPM), it also still leaves them thin in the backcourt while they wait for Immanuel Quickley (minus-1.5 BPM) to get his conditioning back after spending a week on the COVID-19 list.

Which could happen any moment now. As always, you might want to hold off betting on either side until you can find out more about who’s actually playing, but we’ll be running with the Wolves here at the ranch. It’s just the right thing to do.

NBA Pick: Minnesota +5.5 (-105) with BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Minnesota +5.5 (-105)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.