Hornets vs. Hawks Expert NBA Betting Analysis and Free Pick

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Clint Capela #15 of the Atlanta Hawks. Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images/AFP.

The Charlotte Hornets and Atlanta Hawks have both been incredible offensively this season. Will that continue in tonight’s game? Let’s take a look at the NBA odds and decide which way to lean at top sportsbooks.

Charlotte Hornets vs. Atlanta Hawks

Sunday, December 05, 2021 – 06:00 PM EST at State Farm Arena

It’s been an interesting start to the season for the Charlotte Hornets. Despite being 13-11 on the season, the Hornets have dropped their last three games. All three of those games were on the road and two of those games were very winnable. But losses to Houston are never forgivable.

Now the Hornets will stay on the road to face an Atlanta Hawks team that is under-performing to start the season. The Hawks have won three of their last five but have lost two ofo their last three. Tonight’s matchup still features two of the best offenses in the NBA.

The Hawks are scoring 113 points per 100 possessions and have limited turnovers to just 12.5 percent this season. That turnover percentage leads the NBA. Meanwhile, the Hawks are shooting an effective field goal percentage of 53.3 percent while earning 26.5 percent offensive rebounds. For the Hawks, the offense shouldn’t be a problem tonight. The Hornets are allowing 111.5 points per 100 possessions and an effective field goal percentage of 54 percent.

The only thing the Hornets do slightly well on the defense is forcing turnovers, but that’s extremely hard against a very disciplined Hawks team. The Hawks figure to dominate the offensive glass for offensive rebounds and should get to the line at a solid rate with the Hornets giving opponents a free throw rate of 18.7. Trae Young leads the Hawks in points with 26.2 per game on 46.1 percent from the field.

Meanwhile, the offensive rebounds will come from Clint Capela, who has four offensive rebounds per game and 12.5 rebounds per game on the season. On the other hand, the Hornets are scoring 112.3 points per 100 possessions with an effective field goal percentage of 53.6 percent. The Hornets, just like the Hawks, rarely turn the ball over. The Hawks are also no threat in forcing turnovers to begin with.

The Hornets will struggle to get to the line at a high rate against the Hawks and offensive rebounds might be a bit challenging, but overall, if the Hornets are able to limit turnovers and take good shots like they’ve been doing all season, the offense should flow for the most part behind LaMelo Ball who leads the team in points, rebounds, and assists.

Prediction

Both of these offenses are capable of putting up plenty of points in this game. These teams take good shots and rarely turn the ball over. Meanwhile, the Hawks should be able to earn second chances while getting to the line at a solid rate. Tonight’s game should be fast-paced with plenty of action. If you like offense, this is going to be the game for you. So with that, let’s grab the over 224.5 between the Hornets and the Hawks for our NBA picks.

NBA Pick: Over 224.5 (-110) via BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Over 224.5 (-110)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.