Free NBA Picks: Our Best Bets for November 12

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Zach LaVine #8 of the Chicago Bulls. Tim Nwachukwu/Getty Images/AFP.

The game of the night in the NBA is happening in California with the Golden State Warriors hosting the Chicago Bulls. The Bulls are tied for the best record in the Eastern Conference while the Warriors are the west’s top team. Let’s break this game down to see if we can find where the value is at the NBA odds.

Chicago Bulls vs. Golden State Warriors

Friday, November 12, 2021 – 10:00 PM EST at Chase Center

Warriors Looking Like Contenders Again

Before the season started, some so-called experts predicted the Warriors wouldn't make the playoffs. It's only been eleven games but so far, that looks like the opposite of what's going to happen. A lot can change between now and the end of the season so let's not get carried away.

In my opinion, it's safe to say, the Warriors will be a playoff team and will be contenders in the Western Conference all season. It has to be noted that they still don't even have their full squad.

Not only will Klay Thompson be back eventually, so will young big man James Wiseman. This team can still get better which is the scary part.

They come into this game against the new-look Chicago Bulls as -6 point favorites. That number seems high considering how well the Bulls have played to start the year, but the Warriors dynasty has been one of the most popular teams among "neutrals" so you know that they are darlings of the betting public as well. I have this game handicapped at Warriors -4.5.

Bulls Playing Good Basketball

There's a ton of hype in Chicago and rightfully so. They've assembled a very talented roster that plays an exciting brand of basketball. They've started the season with an 8-3 record and have an impressive margin of victory of over seven points per game.

They will be coming into this game without two starters which is part of the reason this line is a bit inflated. We already know that Patrick Williams is out of the year with a wrist injury. Now Nikola Vucevic has been diagnosed with Covid 19 and will be out until later this month.

I think this is a buy-low opportunity for the Bulls. Of course, Vucevic is a big loss however, he hasn't exactly been playing his best basketball.

He is a player that has always been the main man in his career and now he's the third option for the Bulls. He is not the first player to struggle with a new role. It reminds me of Kevin Love during the Cavaliers title run. He was clearly the third option there and never looked comfortable. That's because while he was in Minnesota, everything went through him.

Vuc is having that same struggle now where he is third on the team in field goals per game (14.3) behind Zack LaVine (18.6) and DeMar DeRozan (19.2). He is currently shooting 39% from the field which is just horrible for a power forward.

Luckily for the Bulls, he hasn't let that stop him from contributing in other ways. He leads the team in rebounding (10.9) and is third in assists (4.3) which is a great sign for Bulls fans. A lot of players allow their offensive struggles to affect the rest of their game but Vuc has been very professional.

Taking Points With Bulls Tonight

For my NBA pick, I'm taking the points with the Bulls here because I do think they have enough to keep up with Golden State here, even with Vucevic's absence. When I look at both teams, I respect their record but it also has to be taken with a grain of salt. These teams have played two of the easiest schedules in the league to date and that matters.

Stephen Curry #30 of the Golden State Warriors looks. Ezra Shaw/Getty Images/AFP.

I don't think the Warriors are two possessions better than Chicago, even with Vucevic out. There's also the fact that Golden State might be without Draymond Green in this one which helps cancel out the loss of Vuc for the Bulls.

The total is 221.5 and I do think the over has some value. I expect this to be a fast-paced game not only because of the absence of Vuc but the Warriors being the home team will probably control the pace. They play at the fifth-fastest pace in the NBA.

NBA Pick: Bulls +6 (-115) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Bulls +6 (-115)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.