Bucks vs. Knicks Expert NBA Betting Analysis and Free Pick

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Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 of the Milwaukee Bucks receives high fives. Bob Levey/Getty Images/AFP.

The New York Knicks are often hard to bet against at home. However, things haven’t looked good for the Knicks, even at home recently. Will Milwaukee finish the job early against the Knicks today? Let’s take a look at the NBA odds and decide which way to lean at top betting sites.

Milwaukee Bucks vs. New York Knicks

Sunday, December 12, 2021 – 12:00 PM EST at Madison Square Garden

To start the season, it looked as though the New York Knicks were going to be serious contenders in the East. But things have fallen off recently and the Knicks are now 12-14 on the season. It won’t get any easier, even at home, as the Knicks will now have to face the former champions in the Milwaukee Bucks.

The Bucks started off shaky without a bunch of players due to injuries and protocols. But currently, Milwaukee has looked unstoppable and is now 17-10 on the season. The Bucks are scoring 111.8 points per 100 possession while shooting an effective field goal percentage of 53.6 percent. Milwaukee has also limited turnovers to 14.2 percent and has done above average on the offensive glass, earning just under 26 percent of offensive rebounds. The Bucks also get to the line at an above-average rate.

Milwaukee is led by Giannis Antetokounmpo who is averaging 27.6 points per game on 53.4 percent from the floor. Antetokounmpo is also averaging a double-double with 11.8 rebounds per game. The Knicks have looked terrible defensively this season. It’s a bit shocking, to say the least. Teams are scoring 110.9 points per 100 possessions while also allowing teams to shoot an effective field goal percentage of 51.3 percent. The Knicks won’t earn many turnovers and have struggled on the defensive glass.

There’s reason to believe that the Bucks can dominate offensively, even on the road, against New York when it comes to limiting turnover, taking good shots, and ultimately dominating the offensive glass. On the other hand, the Knicks are scoring just 110.4 points per 100 possessions off a 52 percent effective field goal percentage. Turnovers are average and while offensive rebounding is at 27 percent this season, the Bucks do a great job of limiting offensive rebounds from opponents. The Knicks also get to the line at a very high rate but, again, the Bucks limit foul shooting for opponents. Everything the Knicks do well on offense, the Bucks do better on the defensive end.

Julius Randle has seemingly taken a step backward for the Knicks. He’s still averaging 19.5 points per game but that’s on 43 percent from the field. Randle is averaging 10 reboounds and 5.2 assists and hasn’t been getting much consistent help from much of the roster.

Prediction

It’s hard to bet against the Knicks at home, but even at home, the Knicks haven’t looked all that great. This team has all the potential in the world but they’ll need to make a splash at the trade deadline to really have a chance at making the playoffs. The Bucks have won three of their last four games and are currently comfortable on the road after already playing two games on the road previously. I’ll take the Bucks in this spot at -4.5 as my NBA pick.

NBA Pick: Bucks -4.5 (-110) via BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Bucks -4.5 (-110)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.