The NBA Finals continue tonight. Here is a parlay for your pleasure. Top sportsbooks have released their odds for tonight’s NBA Finals action.
Game 6 takes place tonight. In Game 5, the Warriors triumphed in their home venue. With a second straight win over Boston, Golden State took a 3-2 lead in the series.
They are therefore one win away from winning it all. For reasons that I will explain, you should play both spread and total for tonight’s game.
Feel free to parlay both bets at online sports betting site in order to maximize your profit.
Golden State Warriors vs. Boston Celtics
Thursday, June 16, 2022 – 09:00 PM EDT at TD Garden
Home Court Disadvantage
Tonight, Boston is favored by NBA oddsmakers because it is playing at home. However, the results of its playoff games do not justify the implication that the Celtics gain an advantage from playing at home such that they should be favored -- and by about two baskets.
Boston has won one of two home games in this series. In its last series, against Miami, two of Boston's three losses came in Boston.
Likewise, in its prior series against the Bucks, two of its three losses came at home. When the Celtics are playing at home in these playoffs, one has to keep a particularly open mind to the notion that the road team may win straight-up.
Defending Steph Curry: Games 1-4
Through the first four games of this series, superstar Steph Curry positioned himself unequivocally in the front running for NBA Finals MVP.
Curry amassed 34 points in Game 1, 29 in Game 2, 31 in Game 3, and 43 in Game 4. During these four games, Boston pursued a particularly conservative defensive strategy against Curry.
The Celtics applied minimal pressure on Curry, opting to let him get his while they account for the various weapons surrounding Curry.
Defending Curry in Game 5
Game 4 generated the straw that broke the camel's back. Curry went off, amassing 43 points in his team's 10-point victory in Boston.
Ime Udoka had his Celtics switch up their defensive gameplan for Steph. They had somebody faceguard Steph in every instant, regardless of his location on the court.
Moreover, they would have help, sometimes it was Al Horford or another big man, positioned behind Curry's on-ball defender and still well beyond the three-point line.
This defensive strategy facilitated the desired result as Curry finished with a series-low 16 points.
However, Boston's help rotations experienced significant disorder that was easy for the stacked and loaded Warriors offense to take advantage of.
One example came through Draymond Green. In one play, he was positioned just behind the arc. He acted as if he were going to hand off the ball before attacking the basket and dunking it.
Normally, a Celtics defender would be in a position to impede Draymond by rotating over and contesting his shot attempt.
However, Draymond collected an easy basket because the defense was too focused on Steph.
Conclusions on Steph
It wasn't just Draymond who was scoring more than usual in Game 5. Five different Warriors accrued 14 points or more.
Most noteworthy were Andrew Wiggins with his 26 points and Klay Thompson with his 21.
Wiggins reminded everyone that he is a menace in one-on-one situations and Thompson has always been known as a lethal shooter.
Game 6 Expectations for Klay
"Game 6 Klay" will be particularly strong tonight -- he is converting 49.5 percent of his three-point attempts in Game 6's. Curry also had a series-high eight assists.
Whether through his passing or simply through his existence on the court, he helped his teammates find a groove together. Jordan Poole was also more effective.
He is a speedy playmaker and an efficient shooter who is an ideal contributor when his teammates are stepping up such that he doesn't feel the need to dribble himself out of the play.
There are simply so many weapons that easily get open via the Warriors' motion offense. The alternative is Curry going off for 30 or 40 points and the role players still doing well.
Even if Boston does guard Curry closely again tonight, he still procured five open three-point attempts last game. He is not going to miss all of them again.
Curry is converting over 52 percent of his three-point attempts in the game coming immediately after one when he did not make a single three. In conclusion, Boston does not have an answer for the Warriors' offense.
Golden State has the Celtic offense figured out, having held it to 98.5 points per 100 possessions in the last two games.
During this two-game span, the Celtic offense has struggled to score despite converting about 37 percent of its three-point attempts.
Celtics' Biggest Problem
Repeatedly sloppy, stagnant, directionless, and turnover-prone, the Celtics' biggest problem is its lack of a star. Jayson Tatum is supposed to be the team's superstar.
But, as a consequence of Andrew Wiggins' on-ball defending, Golden State's strong and purposeful switching, and his own weaknesses driving to the basket, Tatum has been woefully inefficient inside the arc.
NBA Pick: Warriors +3.5 (-105) with BetOnline
NBA Pick: Over 210 (-110) with BetOnline
Golden State will overwhelm clueless and limited Boston with its manifold and versatile weaponry.
Curry's improved efficiency plus the momentum of his supporting cast will lead to a higher Warrior scoring output to which Boston's rather one-dimensional, three-point-reliant offense won't need to contribute much.
For the above reasons, parlay the Warriors and the "over" for your best bets. Be sure to use our trusty parlay calculator for your parlay betting needs.
- Warriors +3.5 (-105)
- Over 210 (-110)
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.