Best Warriors vs. Celtics NBA Finals Game 4 Player Props to Consider

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Yes, Warriors star Steph Curry will play in Game 4 of the NBA Finals on Friday night at the Boston Celtics despite a foot injury.

Here are four NBA player prop picks on the matchup with odds from BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review), one of BMR’s top-rated sportsbooks. 

Golden State Warriors vs. Boston Celtics

Friday, June 10, 2022 – 09:00 PM EDT at TD Garden

Who Has the Broadcast?

I can’t promise you who will win Game 4 of the 2022 NBA Finals on Friday between the Warriors and Celtics, again televised by ABC, but I can promise it’s the last Friday with NBA action of the season.

Frankly, I’m half surprised that ABC/Disney didn’t insist on playing Game 4 Sunday even though Game 3 was Wednesday because Friday nights (and Saturday nights) are TV wastelands.

Television already had dictated a very unusual schedule in this series. 

Warriors vs. Celtics: Game 4 Prediction

The Warriors might have the Celtics right where they want them. Why? Golden State is 5-0 after a loss in these playoffs, winning those games by an average of 15.4 points, the fifth-highest in the last 50 seasons.

The Celtics improved to 7-0 straight up and against the spread after a loss in these playoffs following their 116-100 home win in Game 3. 

While I probably lean Boston for Game 4 in part due to a Steph Curry's injury (see below), know that the Dubs have won at least one road playoff game in an amazing 26 straight series, easily an NBA record. Draymond Green (26 games), Klay Thompson (26), and Curry (25) are the only players to win at least one road game in every playoff series they've played in (minimum of 10 games). That’s crazy. 

What Are the Odds for Game 4?

On the updated series line at the best sportsbooks and betting sites, Boston is -220 with its 2-1 lead and Golden State +190.

The favored exact result is Celtics in six. That’s my lean currently. 

Steph Curry Prop Bet

  • Over/Under 29.5 Points 
  • Over/Under 4.5 Made Three-Pointers 

Golden State is listing Stephen Curry as probable. I know a lot of bettors backed Boston at an open of -3.5 right after Game 3 for this one because Curry looked like he badly injured his foot at the end of Game 3 when Boston’s Al Horford accidentally rolled up on it; Curry was also seen limping afterward. If this were the regular season, I’d guess Curry wouldn’t play Friday, but he is.

I am going under Curry’s point total and three-point makes, though, because if he’s limited even a little that is a big deal. It will make it easier for guys like Marcus Smart and others to chase him around pick-and-rolls. 

In each of the last three Finals games, Stephen Curry has made at least 5 three-pointers, tying the longest streak within a single Finals all-time. In the NBA Finals in his career, Curry has made five or more three-pointers in an NBA-record 15 times. 

NBA Prop Pick: Curry Under 29.5 Points (-118) at BetOnline 

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Curry Under 29.5 Points (-118)
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NBA Prop Pick: Curry Under 4.5 Made Three-Pointers (-105) at BetOnline 

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Curry Under 4.5 Made Three-Pointers (-105)
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Draymond Green Prop Bet

  • Over/Under 7.5 Points 

If the Warriors lose again Friday, it likely means that Draymond Green had another poor game – he seems like he’s in his own head and more worried about arguing with the refs.

Green fouled out of Game 3 but still managed to play 35 minutes and had 2 points, 3 assists, and 4 rebounds. Green’s .321 true shooting percentage in this series – which combines his two-point (5-for-12), three-point (0-for-7), and free throw (5-for-10) shooting into one number – is the lowest for any player logging significant minutes in the Finals in more than 35 years.

The Celtics are daring him to shoot. Maybe he’ll get his rebounds and assists Friday, but Green is averaging 5.0 ppg in the series. 

NBA Prop Pick: Green Under 7.5 Points (-108) at BetOnline

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Green Under 7.5 Points (-108)
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Marcus Smart Prop Bet

  • Over/Under 14.5 Points 

Look, if NBA Defensive Player of the Year Marcus Smart scores 24 points again as he did in Game 3, the Celtics are going to win by double digits. The thing is: That’s not really what Boston needs from him.

Somehow, Smart got 17 shot attempts in Game 3, the same number combined he had in the first two games. Smart seems to follow an excellent offensive game with a poor one. There’s a reason he averaged only 12.1 ppg during the season. Computer simulations have him right on that number for Game 4.  

It’s truly a coincidence that all these NBA picks are under leans.  

NBA Prop Pick: Smart Under 14.5 Points (-114) at BetOnline

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Smart Under 14.5 Points (-114)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.