Best Celtics vs. Warriors NBA Finals Game 1 Player Props to Consider

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San Francisco will welcome the NBA Finals for the first time Thursday night as the Golden State Warriors host the Boston Celtics in Game 1.

Here are three NBA player prop picks on the matchup with odds from BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review), one of BMR’s top-rated sportsbooks. 

Boston Celtics vs. Golden State Warriors

Thursday, June 02, 2022 – 09:00 PM EDT at Chase Center

2022 NBA Finals Preview

  • Thursday will be the first-ever NBA Finals game in San Francisco. When the Warriors were in their dynastic run a few years ago, they were still located in Oakland.
  • It’s the first time since 2008 that neither preseason conference favorite will participate in the NBA Finals.
  • It’s the 24th straight playoff series in which the Warriors have been favored, the longest streak by any team in the past 35 seasons. 
  • It’s the sixth straight NBA Finals appearance for Klay Thompson because he missed the previous two seasons due to injury.
  • It’s the ninth consecutive season the Western Conference winner has been favored in the Finals and most of those due to the Warriors.
  • Two of the past three Finals winners were series underdogs

Warriors Prop Bet: Klay Thompson 

  • Over/Under 20.5 Points

Boston has been the NBA’s best defensive team since the calendar turned to 2022 so it might be smart to hit on a few under points totals for the Warriors in Game 1, but I’m going back to a guy I’ve been “undering” almost this entire postseason in Klay Thompson. The books keep gifting us these high points totals on him.

Yes, Thompson did tie his 2022 playoff high with a game-high 32 points and 8 three-pointers in leading the Warriors to a series-clinching Game 5 win over Dallas in the West Finals. Yet even with those 32 points, Klay is averaging 19.8 ppg in the postseason. He didn’t score more than 19 in any other game vs. the Mavericks and has landed under 20.5 points scored in 10 of 16 games overall.

In the one game Thompson played vs. Boston this season, he had 18 points. That’s about where I see him Thursday and computer sims have him at 18.5 points. 

NBA Prop Pick: Thompson Under 20.5 Points (-118) at BetOnline 

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Thompson Under 20.5 Points (-118)
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Celtics Prop Bet: Jayson Tatum 

  • Over/Under 40.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists

Boston’s Jayson Tatum was the first-ever winner of the Larry Bird Eastern Conference Finals MVP Award in leading the Celtics past the Miami Heat in seven games. He averaged 25.0 points, 8.3 rebounds, and 5.6 assists, which adds up to 38.9 points + rebounds + assists.  

I think the Warriors are better-suited to deal with Tatum than the Heat were because Golden State can mix and match the likes of Draymond Green, Andrew Wiggins, and even the likes of Andre Iguodala and Gary Payton II if they are healthy enough to play in Game 2. I also wonder if Tatum might be a bit gassed even with a few days off: He played at least 44 minutes in each of the final three games of the Heat series.  

The Celtics are at their best when Tatum is receiving help from his teammates as he did in Game 7 of the Eastern Conference Finals. There could also be some nerves at the outset as it’s Tatum’s first time on the biggest stage. 

Computer sims have Tatum with 26.3 points, 7.3 rebounds, and 4.3 assists. Fine numbers, but under 40.5 combined.  

NBA Prop Pick: Tatum Under 40.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-113) at BetOnline

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Tatum Under 40.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-113)
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Warriors Prop Bet: Draymond Green 

  • To Have 5+ Assists and Warriors To Win

Finally, we think the Warriors win this game. They are better-rested and an amazing 21-2 in Game 1s under coach Steve Kerr. They also have won 13 straight Game 1s at home in the postseason, the third-longest such streak in NBA history, trailing only the Lakers (20) and Bulls (19). Overall, Golden State is 9-0 at home in these playoffs.

Can we get 5 assists from Draymond Green to win this prop assuming the Dubs win? Yes. Green is the all-time assist leader in franchise postseason history and is averaging a team-best 6.3 these playoffs. Golden State doesn’t need Green to score, just to pass and rebound.

Incidentally, he’s the +105 favorite at the best sportsbooks and betting sites to lead all players in assists this series. The only thing we ever worry about Green is that he’s a hothead and could get two technical fouls easily.  

NBA Prop Pick: Green to Have at Least 5 Assists and Warriors to Win (-141) at BetOnline

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Green to Have at Least 5 Assists and Warriors to Win (-141)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.