76ers vs. Hawks Best Bets for Thursday: Everything Depends On Trae Young’s Status

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Trae Young #11 of the Atlanta Hawks goes up for a shot during the second half of the game against the Milwaukee Bucks at Fiserv Forum on October 29, 2022. John Fisher/Getty Images/AFP

Just four games on the NBA schedule Thursday and this is the lone national TV game, shown on NBATV. It’s the first meeting of the season between the clubs. They play again on Saturday in Philadelphia and then go back there on Nov. 28 before finishing the season series in Atlanta on April 7 near the end of the regular season. 

The 76ers won two of three last year. Philly All-Star center Joel Embiid averaged 23.3 points and 9.0 rebounds. Tobias Harris played in two of the three and averaged 19.0 points, 8.5 rebounds and 4.5 assists. For Atlanta, All-Star Trae Young averaged 19.0 points and 10.0 assists, John Collins 14.3 points and Clint Capela 8.5 points and 11.5 rebounds.  

Philadelphia is 4-10 ATS on the NBA odds in its past 14 in Atlanta. 

Philadelphia 76ers vs. Atlanta Hawks

Thursday, November 10, 2022 – 07:30 PM EDT at State Farm Arena

76ers Still Without Harden 

James Harden hasn’t played since Nov. 2 due to a right foot tendon sprain and isn’t close to a return. The Beard is wearing a walking boot and can't put weight on his foot for at least the first week of his recovery.  That makes it difficult for Harden to maintain his conditioning. 

“When you have James, he’s going to have the ball and he’s such a good playmaker,” Embiid said. “When we had him last year, I turned into more of a screener and I excelled in it. So, I just adapt and do whatever it takes to win, whatever I’m needed. He’s not playing so I’m asked to do way more as far as play-calling, playmaking and then also scoring the ball and defending. I like to take on the challenge.” 

Still Performing

Philadelphia is well-rested and hasn’t played since an impressive 100-88 home win over Phoenix. Joel Embiid had 33 points and 10 rebounds for his fourth double-double of the year in his return after missing three games with the flu. He’s having another great year averaging 28.0 points and 9.6 rebounds. 

Tobias Harris had 21 points and Georges Niang hit a career-high seven 3-pointers for a season-high 21 points in the victory off the bench. Since the start of 2020, Niang has 21 games of double-digit scoring with at least a trio of three-pointers, which ranks in the top 15 among all reserves. Niang’s effort was needed because Tyrese Maxey struggled in hitting just 4-for-18 from the field for 11 points. He’s averaging 23.6 points on the season but has had a few clunkers in there.

Other Notes

A few injury notes: Starting forward PJ Tucker is questionable with a hip injury suffered in Monday’s win over Phoenix. Reserve Danuel House missed back-to-back games due to an illness but was able to fully practice Wednesday and will play Thursday. He’s averaging 3.7 points, 2.0 rebounds and 1.0 assists in 16.4 minutes per game. 

A couple of historical notes: Philly coach Doc Rivers was selected by the Hawks in the second round of the 1983 NBA Draft and spent eight seasons in Atlanta where he was a 1988 NBA All-Star. Philadelphia has covered just six of its past 21 road games.  

Hawks Playing Back-To-Back

Atlanta was a 4.5-point home favorite on Wednesday against Utah as All-Star guard Trae Young returned from injury, but the Hawks were upset by the surprising Jazz 125-119. The Hawks led by five points to start the fourth quarter and by as much as 10 points in the game. Atlanta was 8-for-28 from beyond the arc in this game – Murray went 1-for-5 himself – while the Jazz shot 43.6%. 

Young looked pretty good with 22 points, nine assists, four rebounds and two steals. Dejounte Murray had 26 points, six rebounds and five assists – his seventh straight outing with at least 20 points. The offseason trade acquisition is averaging 27.3 points on 55.1% true shooting with 8.5 assists and 5.8 rebounds over his last four games.  

De'Andre Hunter matched his season-high with 22 points. Clint Capela had 19 rebounds, joining Minnesota’s Rudy Gobert and Chicago’s Nikola Vucevic as the only players in the NBA this season to have multiple games of at least 19 rebounds. 

Offensive Output

The Hawks have scored at least 100 points in all 11 games, matching their longest streak to open the season set in 1989-90. Going back to last season, Atlanta has 100-plus in 32 consecutive games, second to only New Orleans (37). 

My one concern here is that Young could sit in the second of a back-to-back because he was a game-time call Wednesday before obviously taking the court. The other injury note is guard Bogdan Bogdanovic, who has yet to make his season debut while recovering from off-season knee surgery. 

Long story short: If Young plays, I’m on Atlanta. If he doesn’t, take Philadelphia. Take the over if Young is in there and under if not. The Hawks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games. For now, we'll assume he will play for our NBA picks.

NBA Pick: Over 222.5 Points (-110) at BetOnline

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Over 222.5 Points (-110)
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NBA Pick: Hawks -1 (-110) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Hawks -1 (-110)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.