Yankees vs. Mets MLB Best Bets for Tuesday

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Taijuan Walker #99 of the New York Mets throws a pitch in the top of the first inning against the Philadelphia Phillies. Christopher Pasatieri/Getty Images/AFP

It’s Subway Series time again. The New York Yankees and New York Mets square off in the Big Apple’s annual crosstown clash, with two games at the Mets’ Citi Field this week.

The four-game split series will conclude later this season with a pair at Yankee Stadium. Let’s see what the MLB odds tell us at the best sportsbooks!

New York Yankees vs. New York Mets

Tuesday, July 26, 2022 – 07:10 PM EDT at Citi Field

The Story So Far

The games are always must-wins for New York’s teams, but the stakes are particularly high this year. Both teams are in first place in their respective divisions, although things haven’t been on cruise control for either team in recent games. 

The Yankees still have the best record in baseball, but the Astros are on their tail and swept New York in a doubleheader right out of the All-Star Break, delivering a message that this season isn’t a mere coronation for the Yankees. New York has lost three of five since the Break ended and haven’t won a series over a team currently on pace for a playoff berth since beating Tampa on June 22. 

The Mets have lost three of four and saw their division lead, once double-digits, shrink to a half-game over the weekend. They currently lead the Braves by two. 

Still, despite the recent hiccups, it’s the first time the Yankees and Mets have both been 10 or more games over .500 at Subway Series time since 2015 and just the second time in the last 15 years. 

Bullpen Woes

As if losing eight of the last 12 games wasn’t enough of a concern, the Yankees suffered an injury to one of their most dependable relievers. Michael King has a 2.29 ERA in 34 games this season and is one of the top “high-leverage” options, meaning he often comes in when the game is in the balance. He suffered a right elbow fracture during Friday’s game, however and is now on the 60-day injured list. 

The bullpen was already thin over the weekend, following the doubleheader on Thursday, when many teams in baseball were enjoying an extended All-Star Break. The Yankees got Monday off, however, which should help freshen up the relief corps. 

The Yankees, an MLB best 35 games over .500, have played just over .500 for the last month and head toward the trade deadline looking to get back the spark that had the team on a record winning pace over the first three months of the season. 

The Yankees will meet the Mets with Jordan Montgomery on the mound. The left-hander is 3-2 with a 3.24 ERA.

Ready to Make Moves

The Mets also have an eye on the trade deadline, hoping to add a bat or two to the lineup with a major deal over the next week. With free-spending owner Steve Cohen at the helm, the pressure is on New York to make a splashy move. The team already added Daniel Vogelbach, who got a key hit and scored in Sunday’s win. 

The Mets would also like to make a statement against the Yankees, who have assumed the mantel of best team in New York with their torrid first half, while the first place Mets have been in their shadow. New York also has to keep an eye on the fast charging Braves, who nearly leapfrogged them for the NL East lead over the weekend. 

The Mets won on Sunday to snap a losing streak and send the team into the Subway Series with a little less pressure. 

“You can't hit a five-run homer and you can't hit a four-run single,” manager Buck Showalter said after the win. “Sometimes you want something too much, and something like that might let you kind of get back into the flow of who you are.”

The Mets will look to right-hander Taijuan Walker to get the Subway Series rolling. He’s 7-2 with a 2.55 ERA.

The Picks

The Mets won four of six over the Yankees in last year’s Subway Series. This is their chance to beat the more highly rated (and hated) Yankees. 

There likely isn’t the same urgency on these regular season games for a Yankees team that still has a lead of more than a dozen games in the AL East. Look for the Mets to get an emotional win in the opener.  I'll take the Mets in a high-scoring game with my MLB picks.

MLB Pick: Mets (+105) with Bovada

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Mets (+105)
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MLB Pick: Over 8 (-107) with Bovada (visit our Bovada Review)

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Over 8 (-107)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.