Yankees vs. Astros MLB Odds, Preview and Pick

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Neither the New York Yankees nor the Houston Astros have posted their starting pitchers for Thursday’s doubleheader, but that isn’t stopping us from breaking down the contests and coming up with free MLB picks.

New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros

Thursday, July 21, 2022 – 01:10 PM EDT at Minute Maid Park

Who Will Start for the Yankees?

The second half of the MLB season kicks off with a doubleheader between the New York Yankees and Houston Astros, and the contests should make for plenty of action at the best sportsbooks once the two managers make their pitching plans known.

Rumor has it that Houston’s Dusty Baker, fresh off managing the AL All-Stars to a 3-2 win over the NL, will send Cristian Javier (6-5, 3.22 ERA) and Luis Garcia (7-5, 3.65 ERA) to the mound on Thursday, but New York’s Aaron Boone is keeping his potential plans closer to the vest.

Season Series and Rivalry Trends

This doubleheader finishes up the makeup games created when the series between the Astros and Yankees in Houston during the original first week of the season was canceled due to the owners and players negotiating a new Collective Bargaining Agreement.

The clubs made up one of those lost games a few weeks ago when Houston scored a 2-1 decision. That single matchup was preceded by a long four-game set in a week earlier in New York where the Astros and Yankees split the series.

  • The June 30th clash in Houston easily stayed ‘under’ the total, the third time in the last four meetings at Minute Maid Park for the final to stop short of the mark.
  • Underdogs have captured five of the last nine meetings, while ‘under’ bettors have returned to the pay window five of the last eight.
  • In taking three of the five matches this season, Houston has a 31-28 edge in the rivalry since the beginning of 2015, but New York still owns a 43-37 all-time advantage.

Potential New York Pitchers

With the exception of former Astro Gerrit Cole, every arm on New York’s roster is at Boone’s disposal for these two games, including the idea of the Yankees skipper using an opener/bulk reliever strategy in one contest.

Along with Cole, Luis Severino can also be scratched. The right-hander was slowed by a sore shoulder recently, and has hit the injured list with a right lat strain that will keep him from throwing at all until early August.

Jameson Taillon (10-2, 3.86 ERA) is one possibility, and would be working on his normal rest after beating Boston last Saturday. Taillon faced Houston in New York back in June, and no-decisioned as the Astros hit him hard (5.2 IP, 6 ER) though the Yankees eventually came back to win the contest 7-6 as -135 chalk on the MLB odds.

Jordan Montgomery (3-2, 3.26 ERA) is another hurler that might get the call for one of the games, and hasn’t faced the Astros yet this season. Nelson Cortes (7-3, 2.63 ERA) pitched an inning in Tuesday’s All-Star Game, and is a better bet to face the Orioles this weekend.

Potential Houston Pitchers

Javier faced the Yankees in New York on June 25th and was on the starting end of a 3-0 win by pitching the first seven innings of a combined no-hitter. The young Dominican struck out 13 and the victory came as a juicy +176 underdog at Heritage Sports (visit our Heritage Sports Review).

Garcia got the nod in the single-game collision in Houston on June 30th and helped the Astros to a winning 2-1 score by pitching into the sixth and allowing just one run on another underdog line before a quartet of relievers shut New York down the rest of the way.

Justin Verlander (12-3, 1.89 ERA), who is having another Cy Young caliber season, is expected to start one of Houston’s games in Seattle this weekend when they take on the red-hot Mariners.

Thursday’s Best Bets

It’s a shame both New York and Houston dragged their feet in announcing pitching plans for a doubleheader that is looking more and more like a potential ALCS preview according to the baseball futures.

By having what are essentially the arms from the back end of their respective rotations take the mound on Thursday, assuming the Yankees go with Taillon and Montgomery, it should make for some tight moneylines once the numbers do show up on BMR’s betting odds.

I’ll be playing New York to knock Javier around in the opener, then wait and see how the bullpens work in Game 1 before getting down on some action in the nightcap.

MLB Pick: Yankees (+102) at Bovada (visit our Bovada Review)

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Yankees (+102)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.