Yankees vs. Astros MLB Odds, Preview and Pick

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Luis Garcia #77 of the Houston Astros delivers during the first inning against the New York Mets. Carmen Mandato/Getty Images/AFP

The glass is half-full as far as the baseball betting card goes on Thursday, but one of the games on the light card is a doozy as the New York Yankees visit the Houston Astros.

New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros

Thursday, June 30, 2022 – 06:10 PM EDT at Minute Maid Park

Having just played four times in the Bronx this past weekend, the New York Yankees and Houston Astros move their rivalry down to the Lone Star State for a quick single-game showdown between the American League’s two top teams.

This game is a makeup from the first week of the original MLB schedule. It was one of three matches canceled due to the carryover of the lockout imposed on the poor, oppressed players by the evil and greedy owners while a new Collective Bargaining Agreement was being negotiated.

Starting Pitchers for Today

A couple of hurlers named Luis square off in the clash as the Yankees send Luis Severino (4-2, 3.38) to the mound opposite Luis Garcia (5-5, 3.68) of the Astros, and New York is showing up as a -120 favorite on MLB odds with 8 for the total.

Will Familiarity Breed Contempt?

We saw tempers flare last weekend when the Mariners and Angels met in Anaheim for a quick rematch after playing a week earlier in Seattle, and we can’t help but wonder if the things might get ugly between the Yankees and Astros after playing a week ago in New York.

  • Last week’s series was split 2-2, with both of the Yankees’ winning MLB scores of the walk-off variety.
  • Totals ran 1-2-1 O/U/P at Yankee Stadium a week ago, with the push coming on a 9-run mark in the series finale.
  • The teams will meet for a doubleheader in Houston just after the all-star break, their final scheduled matchups of 2022.

Luis Severino Analysis

It would be difficult to find a pitcher who has been more consistent from month to month than Severino. He posted a 3.32 ERA in April, 3.41 in May, and has a 3.38 mark heading into Thursday’s tilt. Still, his last two outings have resulted in his season ERA going up by more than half a run.

Severino allowed a season-high five runs and walked a season-high four batters on Father’s Day in Toronto, earning a no-decision in a slugfest the Blue Jays eventually won 10-9 as +145 underdogs at top-rated sportsbooks.

His latest trip to the mound came against the Astros during last weekend’s series. Severino worked six innings and allowed three earnies a 3-1 Houston win, New York’s fourth loss in his last six assignments. That was Severino’s first start against the Astros since Game 3 of the 2019 ALCS.

Luis Garcia Analysis

Houston shuffled its rotation a bit following the series at Yankee Stadium last weekend. The result was Garcia getting some extra rest in advance of Thursday’s tilt. Garcia has routinely had six days between starts this year and will be working with a full seven days off this time.

One reason the Astros switched things up was to keep Garcia from facing the Mets two starts in a row, that decision coming despite the Venezuelan getting the dubya in a 5-3 triumph against them at home eight days ago when Houston was -140 chalk at Bovada (visit our Bovada Review).

Garcia didn’t face the Yankees when the clubs collided in New York last weekend. He faced them once last season, Garcia’s lone experience against the pinstripes. It went into the books as a no-decision for Garcia (4.2 IP, 3 ER) and a 6-3 loss for the Astros.

Injury Update for Today

Closer Aroldis Chapman completed a rehab assignment on Tuesday after being out since late-May with an Achilles injury. New York skipper Aaron Boone hinted that Chapman would be activated Friday when the Yankees start a series in Cleveland.

Houston could be missing three key bats Thursday following a collision in the series finale at the Mets between outfielder Yordan Alvarez and shortstop Jeremy Peña, both of whom are being evaluated for concussions. The Astros also lost Michael Brantley (shoulder) to the injured list last weekend.

MLB Pick for Today

With Alvarez and Peña both being game-time decisions, and likely sitting this one out, that might be too much offense for the Astros to be without against a tough righthander like Severino, despite his recent downturn.

Then again, the Astros have been playing well at home and have won five of their last six at Minute Maid. I’m rolling with the home dogs for my baseball pick.

MLB Pick: Astros (+110) with GTbets (visit our GTbets Review)

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Astros (+110)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.