Yankees vs. Cardinals MLB Preview and Free Pick

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After an unexpected double dip, the St. Louis Cardinals might be too tired to beat the New York Yankees this Friday. 

Let’s break down the MLB odds for this matchup to find some value!

New York Yankees vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Friday, August 05, 2022 – 08:15 PM EDT at Busch Stadium

Yankees vs. Cardinals Game Preview

Sometimes you win, sometimes you lose; sometimes, it rains. Wednesday’s game between the Chicago Cubs and St. Louis Cardinals got postponed after the clouds rolled in, so our MLB picks for that matchup were all for naught.

Or were they? The work we put in previewing the Cardinals' post-trade deadline will help us determine what to do when the New York Yankees visit Busch Stadium this Friday, for the first of a very important three-game set for St. Louis.

There’s one noticeable difference that needs to be pointed out, though: Unlike the Cubs, New York were buyers at the deadline, not sellers. And the Yankees happen to be the best team in baseball.

Okay, two noticeable differences. Let’s get to Friday’s game before this turns into a Monty Python sketch.

Did the Yankees Win the Trade Deadline?

It’s not a contest, but sure, they did quite well for themselves. Although that Jordan Montgomery trade with St. Louis was a bit of a head-scratcher, it did open up a spot in the rotation for Frankie Montas, whom New York acquired from the Oakland A’s for a package of prospects.

Meanwhile, Harrison Bader (.673 OPS) does give the Yankees some quality defense in the outfield, even if his hitting hasn’t been up to snuff this year. Except Bader is on the 10-day IL recovering from plantar fasciitis, and won’t don the pinstripes until later this month.

Other Additions at the Deadline

The Yankees also did some wheeling and dealing with the Cubs, picking up reliever Scott Effross (3.01 xFIP) in one of the quieter exchanges on deadline day. Combine Effross with fellow northpaw Lou Trivino (2.96 xFIP), who came over from Oakland in that Montas trade, and New York’s already awesome bullpen looks like it’s ready to win the World Series.

Is the Arrival of Andrew Benintendi an Upgrade?

Personally, I’m less impressed with the arrival of OF Andrew Benintendi (.761 OPS) from the Kansas City Royals. He’ll definitely be an upgrade over Joey Gallo (.621 OPS), who was shipped off to the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Benintendi doesn’t have much hitting power to go with his strong defense. His vaccine status is also in question after he didn’t travel with the Royals to face the Toronto Blue Jays.

Overall, though, the Yankees found a way to address pretty much all their needs at the deadline without dipping too deeply into their prospect pool. And those added position players could be enough to beat both the Cardinals tonight.

Who’s Pitching for the Yankees?

It won’t be Frankie Montas – he’s on the bereavement list and isn’t scheduled to make his Yankees debut until Sunday. Nestor Cortes (3.70 xFIP) gets the start for this one. Our favorite All-Star junkballer hasn’t been on the losing end very often, leading the Bombers to a 14-5 record with the Over at 9-8-2.

Will his magic work on St. Louis? This will be the first time Cortes has ever faced the Cardinals, who are still third on the hitting WAR charts at FanGraphs as we go to press. And aside from OF Juan Yepez (.758 OPS), who’s due back any day now from a strained right forearm, the Cards have all their bats healthy and ready for action.

Giancarlo Stanton: Still Out

The same can’t be said for the Yankees. Their sick bay isn’t as full as it’s been in recent years, but aside from Bader, it includes one very big name: DH Giancarlo Stanton (.807 OPS), who’s come down with tendinitis in his left Achilles. Sounds bad, but apparently Stanton should be back sometime soon.

Dakota Hudson (4.98 xFIP) won’t be too sad to see Stanton on the IL. The projected starter for St. Louis has never had to face the former National League MVP.

Hudson has pitched against five current Yankees, though, who have tattooed him for six hits and a 1.233 OPS in 16 plate appearances. Not a good sign for a pitcher with an 8-11 team record and a deficit of 3.47 betting units on the season.

Is It Going to Rain Again?

Probably not. The forecast at press time calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid-80s, with almost no wind to speak of. Game on for our MLB picks.

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Speaking of games, the Cardinals had to play two against the Cubs on Thursday to make up for the rainout, so they should be extra vulnerable heading into Friday’s matchup. Let’s see if we can take advantage and snag New York at what should be a rare bargain price.

MLB Pick: Yankees ML (-135) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Yankees ML (-135)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.