A couple of teams with managers who do not like each other collide Friday night in Houston where we’re off to find a winning MLB pick for the clash between the Astros and Chicago White Sox.
Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros
Friday, June 17, 2022 – 08:10 PM EDT at Minute Maid Park
MLB 2022 Postseason
After they met in the American League Division Series last October, the MLB future odds told us there was a perfect chance we would see the Chicago White Sox and Houston Astros get together again during the 2022 postseason.
That still might be the case, but Houston is the only one of the two teams playing like a true playoff contender as the leader in the AL West while Chicago is languishing in third place in the AL Central.
A pitching rematch from Game 2 of last year’s ALDS is how this series cranks up. The Astros are showing up as decisive -165 chalk on betting odds with Framber Valdez (6-3, 2.64) on the mound against Lucas Giolito (4-2, 3.88) of the White Sox, and the scoreboard target is 7½ with a bit of favoritism shown to the ‘over.’
White Sox vs. Astros Rivalry Notes
Some rivalries are borne from the geographic proximity of teams, and others come about because of familiarity as the two sides collide so frequently, the games are bound to become more intense and players are sure to have shorter fuses with one another.
In the case of Chicago and Houston, the rivalry’s boiling point can be found in the dugouts where managers Tony La Russa and Dusty Baker have been going at each other’s throats dating to their managerial days in the 90s when they led the Cardinals and Giants, respectively.
White Sox vs. Astros History
- The Astros won last October’s ALDS three games to one, with totals running 3-1 O/U in that postseason series.
- The Astros also won the regular-season series 5-2, sweeping a 4-game series in Houston where totals were 3-1 O/U at top-rated sportsbooks.
- Houston holds a very slim 41-40 edge in the rivalry, including the 2005 World Series and 2021 ALDS.
Lucas Giolito: White Sox's Pitcher Analysis
Try as they might, the White Sox just can’t sustain any consistency to stay over the .500 mark and get back into legitimate playoff contention, and Giolito’s starts this season truly reflect that Chicago only managing to go 4-6 and of 4.2 units for anyone following him and the club on the baseball odds.
That inconsistency shows up in Giolito’s recent assignments, a couple of losses at Toronto and home against the Rangers with a combined 10 runs allowed in 9.2 innings of those contests and a win at Tampa Bay where he allowed to earned runs in six innings.
A lack of control cost Giolito when he faced Valdez and the Astros in Game 2 of last year’s ALDS, the righthander walking five in 4.1 innings, but he shut them down in a regular-season start earlier in 2021 by going the distance with just three hits allowed in a 9-1 victory.
Framber Valdez: Astros' Pitcher Analysis
A combination of poor defense and lackluster offense hurt Valdez last Saturday at home in a 5-1 defeat to the Marlins, the southpaw allowing four runs (2 earned) in six innings of work and taking the loss as big -263 chalk at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review).
That setback snapped a string of six consecutive Houston wins with Valdez on the bump, the beefy Dominican pitching to an outstanding 2.10 ERA during the stretch that included a complete game 3-hitter in Oakland.
Valdez also didn’t last long enough to factor in the decision when he faced Giolito and the White Sox during the postseason, hitting the showers one out into the fifth and having been charged with four runs, the effort coming after he split his two regular-season starts against Chicago.
MLB Injury Report for Today
Chicago arrives in Houston with several key players nursing injuries, the list including closer Liam Hendricks (forearm) who is not expected back until early July, and third baseman Jake Burger (hand) who is listed as day-to-day.
Houston’s lineup took a hit earlier this week when Jeremy Peña injured his left thumb, prompting the Astros to put their dynamic rookie shortstop on the injured list with the hope he can return before the end of the month.
MLB Pick for Today
There isn’t a whole lot to like about this White Sox team right now as it plays like the poster child for underachievement, but at the same time, the moneyline is a little rich on the Astros. Chicago wins it in a 4-3 upset.
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.