White Sox vs. Angels MLB Best Bets for June 29

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The Seattle Mariners and the Los Angeles Angels clear the benches after Jesse Winker #27 of the Seattle Mariners charged the Angels dugout after being hit by a pitch. Ronald Martinez/Getty Images/AFP.

The Los Angeles Angels will be short-handed for Wednesday’s matchup with the Chicago White Sox. Does that make Chicago the right MLB pick?

Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels

Wednesday, June 29, 2022 – 09:38 PM EDT at Angel Stadium

Angels Recent Incident

So much for turning the other cheek. The Los Angeles Angels weren’t happy with the Seattle Mariners buzzing Mike Trout high and inside Saturday night, so they responded Sunday afternoon by plunking Jesse Winker. Typical.

It wasn’t just that. The Angels were clearly out for revenge; instead of Jose Suarez taking his usual turn in the rotation Sunday, manager Phil Nevin made the late decision to give sophomore reliever Andrew Wantz his first MLB start. The sacrificial lamb did as he was told. Wantz threw behind Julio Rodriguez in the first inning, which led to a warning for both teams, then he hit Winker on the hip during the second inning, which led to a bench-clearing brawl.

This means the Angels will be missing some key personnel for Wednesday’s matchup with the Chicago White Sox, including Nevin, who was suspended for 10 games. Bench coach Ray Montgomery will manage L.A. for this contest.

White Sox vs. Angels: Odds Breakdown

With that in mind, we’re recommending the White Sox for your best bets. They opened as +126 road dogs at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review) before moving gradually to +146 as we go to press. Maybe they’ll be even bigger dogs by the time you read this.

How about that 7.5-run total at Heritage Sports (visit our Heritage Sports Review)? That’s a tougher nut to crack, but let’s see if we can find some betting value for you.

How Does Nevin's Absence Affect the Angels?

A really good manager might be worth a game or two across an entire season, but that’s about it. So it’s understandable if Nevin’s suspension didn’t have any impact on the MLB odds.

This is a strange situation, though. Nevin is the interim manager in L.A. after they cut ties with Joe Maddon in response to their 12-game losing streak. They stretched it to 14 games before things started turning around.

Nevin wasn’t the only Angels coach to get their knuckles rapped. Montgomery (two games) and catching coach Bill Haselman (one game) were also handed suspensions, although they won’t have to serve them until assistant pitching coach Dom Chiti (five games) returns from his unscheduled vacation.

What Can We Expect From the Angels Now?

Maybe unloading all this testosterone was just what the Angels needed to get back on the winning track. Or maybe it was facing the rival Mariners.

Los Angeles won Sunday’s contest 2-1 as -138 home faves, making them 5-3 versus Seattle since the Maddon firing.

The Angels have yet to win a series otherwise. And it won’t be any easier going forward with all this chaos in the dugout.

Should We Bet Against Shohei Ohtani?

In this case, yes. Shohei Ohtani (2.70 xFIP) is pitching even better than he did last year when he won American League MVP honors, but the Angels are just 6-6 in his 12 starts for a loss of 1.94 betting units.

I’d say it’s not his fault, but Ohtani hasn’t been raking the ball quite as well this season. His OPS has dropped from .965 to a more manageable .830; that’s still an All-Star performance, but not quite as Ruthian as Ohtani’s 2021 campaign.

Angels' Lineup Losses

Then you have the Angels bullpen, such as it is. The Halos rank No. 21 overall on the WAR charts at FanGraphs, and they’ll be missing at least one reliever this Wednesday in Wantz (4.67 xFIP), who was suspended for three games and chose not to appeal.

Fellow relievers Raisel Iglesias (2.26 xFIP) and Ryan Tepera (4.25 xFIP) were also suspended for two and three games respectively, but are appealing their cases and have yet to serve any time. There’s a non-zero chance either gentleman will be unavailable Wednesday.

We’ve also just received word that reliever Archie Bradley (3.83 xFIP) broke his right elbow Sunday climbing over the railing to join the melee. He’ll miss the next four weeks or so.

Who Is Pitching for the White Sox?

Chicago’s projected starter is a bit less famous than Ohtani. Michael Kopech (4.74 xFIP) is in his first full season with the Pale Hose. The 26-year-old righty was a late first-round pick by the Boston Red Sox in 2014, and one of the blue-chippers Chicago received in the 2016 Chris Sale trade.

He’s also pretty darned good. But maybe not as good as his 2.59 ERA would suggest. Kopech has a .191 BABIP allowed in 13 starts, which won’t last much longer.

That’s not enough to keep us from fading the Angels, but given how the L.A. bullpen has been compromised, we’ll go ahead and recommend a slight lean for the Over. It’s just the right thing to do.

MLB Pick: White Sox ML (+146) at BetOnline

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White Sox ML (+146)
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MLB Pick: Over 7.5 (-113) at Heritage Sports

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Over 7.5 (-113)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.