Twins vs. Mariners MLB Best Bets for June 13

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Byron Buxton #25 of the Minnesota Twins watches his solo home run against the New York Yankees. David Berding/Getty Images/AFP

The Minnesota Twins head west for six games on the coast this week. The American League Central Division leaders open the trip with three games in Seattle, starting Monday.

Minnesota is coming off of a 3-3 homestand and has plateaued following a strong start to the season. The Twins have split their last 10 games and have won just eight of their last 19. Let’s look at the MLB odds from the best sportsbooks

Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners

Monday, June 13, 2022 – 10:10 PM EDT at T-Mobile Park

Second-place Cleveland has cut the Twins’ division lead to three games, so Minnesota will look to put more distance between themselves and the Guardians while on the West Coast. The six games are against sub-.500 Seattle and Arizona, giving Minnesota the chance to get hot again. 

The Mariners were above .500 and in second place in the AL West at the start of May, but a 10-18 month has dropped them to fourth. The team is showing signs of turning things around in June, going 6-5 to start the month. Seattle had won four straight series before dropping two of three to Boston over the weekend. 

Seattle plays sub-.500 teams in its next 18 games following the Minnesota series, so a strong showing against the Twins could help kick off a hot streak for the Mariners. 

Finishing a Tough Stretch

The Twins have been playing .500 ball or worse over recent weeks, but the team has a good excuse—Minnesota has been playing some of the top teams in the American League East. The last three opponents were the Yankees, Blue Jays and Rays, three teams that combine for a .637 winning percentage. 

The Twins won two of those series, but Minnesota is just 6-11 against teams with a .580 or better winning percentage this year. The Twins are 29-16, .619, against everyone else and 24-14, .632, against teams that have a losing record.

Minnesota was able to hit against those top teams. While the Twins were shut out on Sunday, in the first eight games of the string against the best in the East, Minnesota scored 54 runs, 6.7 a night, and homered in all eight contests.

The Twins faced Jameson Taillon, Nestor Cortes, Gerrit Cole and Drew Rasmussen over a five-game stretch and saddled all four starting pitchers with their most runs allowed in a game this season. 

“Our offense has done a good job all week long against some really good arms,” said manager Rocco Baldelli. 

The Twins will start right-hander Chris Archer. The veteran is 1-2 with a 3.65 ERA on the year. 

Two Tiers

The Mariners are two games over .500 against teams with a losing record, but Seattle has gone just 15-24 against winning teams, for a .385 winning percentage. The Mariners won two of three over Houston before the weekend’s Boston series, however. 

The Mariners also won the first two games of the season over the Twins, winning by one run each day in Minnesota. The Twins stormed back to split the series, winning by six and four runs in the next two contests. 

Seattle Mariners games are basically a referendum on the Seattle offense. The M’s are 24-10, .706, when they score at least four runs, 3-23, .115, when they don’t. 

Seattle might get back Ken Giles, who is recovering from a finger injury. He threw an inning for Triple-A Tacoma on a rehab assignment over the weekend, but the team was still unsure if he’d be able to return for the Twins series. 

Seattle will start the series against Minnesota with right-hander Chris Flexen on the mound. Flexen is 2-7 with a 4.35 ERA on the season, but he’s allowed three or fewer earned runs in his last three starts as he turns around a rough beginning to the season. 

The Picks

So what are our best bets? After playing almost exclusively against the league’s best, the Twins will be facing a “normal” team for the first time in weeks. Look for Minnesota to take advantage with a high-scoring win over the Mariners. Twins and Over are my MLB picks.

MLB Pick: Twins (-101) with BetOnline

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Twins (-101)
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MLB Pick: Twins vs. Mariners Over 8.5 (-112) with BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Twins vs. Mariners Over 8.5 (-112)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.