Top sportsbooks have released their MLB odds for today’s baseball action. Three games, in particular, interest me as worth investing in: Yankees vs. Cardinals, Padres vs. Dodgers, and Angels vs. Mariners.
For reasons that I will explain, you should play the moneyline for the first game and the total for the second and third. Feel free to parlay these bets at one of our best sportsbooks in order to maximize your profit.
New York Yankees vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Friday, August 05, 2022 – 08:15 PM EDT at Busch Stadium
Who Is Pitching for the Yankees Today?
Nestor Cortes starts for the Yankees tonight. It is true that Cortes has been pitching well, lately. While his last three starts were great, they came against teams that rank in the bottom half in runs per game.
Cortes will face a much tougher test today, objectively speaking, in a Cardinals squad that ranks sixth in runs per game while scoring at a higher rate in Busch Stadium.
Moreover, two of Cortes' last three starts came at home where he is more comfortable pitching. His FIP (like ERA but factors out fielding) is 4.00 in road games compared to 2.67 in front of the Yankee faithful.
Cortes Against Cardinals Batters
Tonight, Cortes merits pessimism because he matches up poorly against Cardinals batters given the pitches that he throws and the fact that he's a lefty.
Primarily, he throws a fastball, cutter, and slider. These pitches make up well over 90% of his arsenal.
St. Louis will be his toughest test, match-up-wise, in that it ranks second in slugging against these pitches from lefties.
Who Is Pitching for the Cardinals Today?
St. Louis starts Dakota Hudson tonight.
While Hudson has, overall, been terribly unprofitable for bettors to back, this general fact owes to his road games. When he starts at home, the Cardinals are yielding +2.8 units.
Hudson Against Yankees Batters
Unequivocally, Hudson is a ground, ball-inducing pitcher. So far, Hudson is yielding a 52.2% ground ball rate.
This tendency makes him match up well against the Yankees who are easily at their worst against ground ball-inducing pitchers.
Whereas their slugging rate is .462 against fly ball-inducing pitchers, it is .375 against ground ball-inducing ones.
How a team performs tends to carry over from day to day.
Whereas the Yankees have lost three of four, the Cardinals enjoy strong team rhythm, having won four straight games.
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Friday, August 05, 2022 - 10:10 PM EDT at Dodger Stadium
Who Is Pitching for the Padres Today?
San Diego starts Sean Manaea tonight. Troubling trends exist, which elicit concern over Manaea's reliability tonight.
For example, he has allowed 2 home runs in both of his last two starts. This trend is particularly concerning because the Dodgers already do a great job of belting home runs. They rank fifth in home runs per game.
Manaea's recent issue with home runs contributes to his poor form. In his past two starts, he yielded a FIP well over 6.00.
Manaea Against Dodgers Batters
Besides being vulnerable to the home run ball, Manaea merits pessimism tonight because of his history against Dodgers batters. He is 0-3 with a 7.00 ERA in four career starts against L.A.
L.A. should be expected to hit him hard because it matches up well with him.
Manaea is a lefty, and the Dodgers have one of the best lefty-hitting slugging rates in terms of slugging rate.
Who Is Pitching for the Dodgers Today?
The Dodgers start Tony Gonsolin today.
Bettors should automatically look to go against him because he is falling off hard.
He has allowed a combined total of 12 earned runs in his last three starts, which totaled 16 innings.
MLB Pick: Over 8.5 (-110) at BetOnline
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners
Friday, August 05, 2022 - 10:10 PM EDT at T-Mobile Park
Who Is Pitching for the Angels Today?
Patrick Sandoval starts for the Angels tonight.
Sandoval looks uniquely reliable tonight because of his history against and in Seattle. Against Seattle, he enjoys a 2.83 ERA in six career starts. Moreover, his career ERA in Seattle is 2.08 in two starts.
Who Is Pitching for the Mariners Today?
Robbie Ray starts for Seattle. Ray's history against the Angels is not as extensive as Sandoval's against Seattle, but it is very promising. In his career, Ray boasts a 0.64 ERA in two starts against L.A.
One should expect Ray always to thrive against the Angels because he matches up well against them. They rank 28th in slugging against his favorite pitches from lefties.
MLB Pick: Under 7 (-125) at BetOnline
MLB Parlay Verdict
With your MLB picks, expect an upset win from St. Louis, a high-scoring slugfest in Dodger Stadium, and a pitcher's duel in Seattle.
For the above reasons, parlay the Cardinals moneyline, the Padres/Dodgers Over, and the Angels/Mariners Under.
Be sure to use our trusty parlay calculator for your parlay betting needs.
MLB Parlay Picks for Today
- Yankees vs. Cardinals: Cardinals ML (+134)
- Padres vs. Dodgers: Over 8.5 (-110)
- Angels vs. Mariners: Under 7 (-125)
MLB Pick: Three-Legged Parlay (+704) at BetOnline
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.