The best sportsbooks have released their MLB odds for today’s baseball action. Three games, in particular, interest me as worth investing
For reasons that I will explain, you should play the
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins
Friday, July 15, 2022 – 06:40 PM EDT at loanDepot park
Who Starts for Philadelphia?
Philadelphia starts Kyle Gibson tonight. Gibson is in a bad spot because he is pitching in Miami where, historically, he has an abysmal track record.
In his career, he is 0-2 with a 10.80 ERA in two career starts in the Marlins' venue.
Most recently, Gibson has shown a tendency to give up a lot of runs. He's yielded
Gibson is so vulnerable because his favorite pitches are problematic. His favorite pitch is his sinker, which he easily throws most often. As heat maps show, he often leaves this pitch in the middle parts of the strike zone. This problem helps explain why opponents are hitting .291 and slugging .444 against Gibson's sinker.
Who Starts for Miami?
Miami starts the eminently reliable Sandy Alcantara. Alcantara, in his last two starts, has shut out the Angels in eight innings and the Mets in seven
As part of this strong season, he's already victimized the Phillies
MLB Pick: Marlins (-161) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies
Friday, July 15, 2022 - 08:40 PM EDT at Coors Field
Who Starts for Pittsburgh?
Tonight, Pittsburgh starts Jose Quintana, by far its most profitable pitcher. Pertinently to my Best Bet for this game, Pittsburgh has rewarded its backers especially when Quintana is an underdog.
So far, the Pirates are yielding +4.4. units in starts where Quintana is dogged. Their success as underdogs in Quintana's starts
They've won the last two games in which Quintana was the underdog, which was when they were +170 against the Yankees and +155 in Milwaukee.
Quintana's Strong Form
Quintana's excellent form is contributing to these betting numbers
Crucially, he's thrived even against teams that, given his pitching arsenal and the fact that he's a lefty, match up excellently with him.
Who Starts for Colorado?
Colorado starts German Marquez tonight. Marquez has been uniquely awful at home.
Opponents are batting .320 and slugging .591 against him in Coors Field
The key difference between both Marquez and Quintana is their ability to locate pitches well. Heat maps show these conspicuous differences.
Quintana can navigate the edges of the strike zone while Marquez frequently leaves his pitches in the middle parts of the plate.
MLB Pick: Pirates (+132) at BetOnline
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres
Friday, July 15, 2022 - 09:40 PM EDT at Petco Park
Who Starts for Arizona?
Arizona starts Madison Bumgarner. He is in an awful spot because he is facing
Moreover, he has built a long track record in San Diego, but this track record renders him fade-worthy. In his career, he is 5-11 with a 4.70 ERA in 22 career starts in the Padres' venue.
Padres' Batters Against Bumgarner
Active Padre batters have cultivated a strong track record against Bumgarner. They have proven that they should be trusted to hit him well.
For example, Manny Machado, Jake Cronenworth, and Jorge Alfaro all slug over .500 in over 10 career at-bats against Bumgarner.
Who Starts for San Diego?
The Padres start Yu Darvish. He has an edge over Bumgarner because he is pitching at home.
Darvish is supremely reliable at home where opponents are batting .158 and slugging .240 against him
MLB Pick: Padres (-179) at BetOnline
MLB Parlay Verdict
With your MLB picks, expect strong wins from Miami, Pittsburgh, and San Diego.
For the above reasons, parlay all three teams on the moneyline. Be sure to use our trusty parlay calculator for your parlay betting needs.
MLB Parlay Picks for Today
- Phillies vs. Marlins: Marlins (-161)
- Pirates vs. Rockies: Pirates (+132)
- Diamondbacks vs. Padres: Padres (-179)
MLB Pick: Three-Legged Parlay (+486) at BetOnline
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.