The Brewers Shoot for an Upset Against the Cardinals and Their Newest Pitcher

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Thursday found us looking at the bottom of the division for a winning MLB pick in the Field of Dreams Game, and Friday we move to the top of the NL Central for the clash between the Milwaukee Brewers and St. Louis Cardinals.

Contrary to popular belief, the most important MLB matchups this weekend are not taking place along the Charles River in Boston, but instead are happening near the Mississippi River in St. Louis where the Cardinals entertain the Milwaukee Brewers.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Friday, August 12, 2022 – 08:15 PM EDT at Busch Stadium

Who Are Today's Starting Pitchers?

Separated by just a half-game at the top of the NL Central, the series gets underway with a couple of lefthanders on the mound.

Milwaukee skipper Craig Counsell is handing the ball to Eric Lauer (8-3, 3.59) while Oliver Marmol turns to the newest arm in the St. Louis arsenal, Jordan Montgomery (4-3, 3.53).


Series Notes

Milwaukee and St. Louis spent the first half of the season playing long, 4-game sets, two of those three meetings taking place at old Miller Park, and they only have a pair of home-and-home, 2-game series against one another following this weekend.

The Brewers and Cardinals split all three 4-game series right down the middle, two games apiece, and the totals also have also run fairly level in the season series with a 5-6-1 O/U/P mark at top-rated sportsbooks.

Rivalry Trends

  • The best value in the season series has been found in playing the underdogs who have won 10 of the 12 contests.
  • Totals split 2-2 in the May series at Busch, and stand an even 5-5 O/U the last 10 meetings on the diamond.
  • Milwaukee begins the weekend 54-47-9 O/U/P on the year while St. Louis is 52-55-4.

How Are the Brewers Doing?

It has been a bit of a struggle recently for the Brewers who have dropped six of their last nine to fall behind the Cardinals in the division race, and four of those defeats came during their last road trip.

How Are the Cardinals Doing?

St. Louis was on a roll with a 7-game win streak to begin the week before heading off to Denver where the Rockies cooled the Cardinals by winning two of three in a very offensive series that saw all three games go ‘Over’ the MLB odds.


Injury Report

Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee is hoping to have left-handed reliever Taylor Rogers available at some point in this series after the new bullpen piece missed the past couple of days with a knee injury. Adrian Houser (forearm) is continuing his rehab assignment with expectations he can return to the rotation within a couple of weeks.

St. Louis Cardinals

Jack Flaherty, who has been sidelined with a shoulder injury since late June, began a rehab assignment at Triple-A Memphis on Thursday. The Cardinals are hoping to get Steven Matz (knee) back in the mix once September rolls around.


Pitchers Analysis

Eric Lauer

This will be Lauer’s 21st start of the season – Milwaukee is 13-7 in the previous 20 – and the former Kent State standout is coming off a real gem a week ago against the Cincinnati Reds with seven 1-run frames to pick up a 5-1 victory as huge -230 chalk at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review).

Lauer will be facing the Cardinals for the third time this season. He beat them in St. Louis back in May despite walking 4 in a laborious 5-inning, 96-pitch effort, and lost 5-4 decision to the Cardinals at home in Milwaukee a month later when Nolan Arenado and Paul Goldschmidt each took Lauer deep.

Jordan Montgomery

First impressions are always important, and Montgomery made a good first impression with his new teammates and fans by helping the Cardinals to a winning MLB score last Saturday against his former New York teammates in a 1-0 final.

Having just come over from the Yankees in a trade, Montgomery obviously hasn’t been part of any preceding Milwaukee-St. Louis clashes and he will be facing the Brewers for the first time since his 2017 rookie campaign when the former South Carolina Gamecock picked up a no-decision with a 4.1 IP, 2 ER linescore.


Brewers vs. Cardinals: MLB Best Bet for Today

A quick check of BMR’s live odds board shows Montgomery and the Cardinals favored on moneylines around -155, along with an 8-run total that is taxed a little heavier on the ‘Under’ and most shops.

I’m loving the trend of supporting underdogs in the rivalry this season, especially with St. Louis relievers having been beaten up in Colorado this week. Milwaukee is the right play.

MLB Pick: Brewers ML (+144) at Heritage Sports (visit our Heritage Sports Review)

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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.