Rockies vs. Dodgers Fourth of July MLB Best Bets

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Elias Diaz #35 of the Colorado Rockies is congratulated by C.J. Cron #25 after hitting a grand slam home run against the Chicago Cubs. Matthew Stockman/Getty Images/AFP

A week ago, the last-place Colorado Rockies hosted the L.A. Dodgers, leaders of the NL West, and delivered a pair of upsets. The Rockies threw a 4-0 shutout in game one and ended up winning two of three from one of the top teams in baseball.

A week later, the same two teams will meet in a rematch in Los Angeles. The Rockies will be looking to keep their newfound success going. The mini-hot streak continued, with Colorado following up its series win over the Dodgers by taking two of three from Arizona.

Can they keep the momentum going? Let’s break down the MLB odds for today’s game.

Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Monday, July 04, 2022 – 09:10 PM EDT at Dodger Stadium

It’s the first time since beating the last-place Reds to end April and last-place Nationals to open May that Colorado has won back-to-back series.

The Rockies have pulled out of sole possession of last, tying the Diamondbacks for fourth in the NL West. It’s still a long way to go before crashing the top tier of the division, but it’s a start.

The Dodgers appear to be in a better spot. Since dropping the first two games in Colorado, Los Angeles rebounded with a four-game winning streak to secure its hold on the first place before dropping Sunday’s series finale against the second-place Padres.

Staying Hot

The Rockies will be tested with the three games in Los Angeles following a successful 4-2 homestand. Colorado is two games over .500 at home and have beaten the Dodgers in both series at Coors Field this year. However, the Rockies are just 12-23 on the road this season and travel to Dodger Stadium for the first time this year.

The Rockies are also just 16-26 against teams with winning records, although they’ve beaten the Dodgers twice, swept the Padres once and beat the Giants.

The Rockies are being led at the plate by C.J. Cron, who had two home runs to lead Colorado back from a 5-0 deficit to beat Arizona on Sunday. He hit a pair of three-run homers, knocking in all of Colorado’s runs in the comeback, the first player to do that since 1996. He’s among the NL leaders in:

  • Total bases
  • Extra-base hits
  • Home runs
  • RBI's

Ryan McMahon Is Probable for the Rockies

Colorado got a scare when third baseman Ryan McMahon hurt his hand making a tag on a double steal in Sunday’s game. He lost his grip on the ball and appeared to be in pain but was able to remain in the game. Assuming there’s no swelling or bad news on any tests, he should be able to remain in the lineup for the series in L.A.

Kyle Freeland will get the call on Monday. He’s 4-5 with a 4.31 ERA. He’s won three straight decisions, including beating the Dodgers with just three runs in six innings last week.

Dodgers' Betting Analysis

The Dodgers won three of four against the second-place Padres before blowing a lead late on Sunday to just miss a sweep. The series helped rebuild some wiggle room for Los Angeles in the West.

The Dodgers’ lead, which had fallen to a game and a half after the trip to Colorado, is back up to three and a half as L.A. continues its homestand with the Rockies, followed by the Cubs, two teams that are a combined 24 games below .500. Los Angeles is 30-14 against teams with a losing record and 23-13 overall at home.

The Dodgers got some good news on the injury front, with Mookie Betts returning to the lineup on Sunday. Betts had two doubles, scored twice and reached base four times as he, Trea Turner and Freddie Freeman were all in the lineup at the same time for the first time since June 15.

Important Injuries

Of course, the injury bug is still infesting the L.A. clubhouse. Three relevant players are still on the injury list. They are:

  • Craig Kimbrel
  • Hanser Alberto
  • Chris Taylor

Reliever Craig Kimbrel was forced to leave Sunday’s game, however, after getting hit with a line drive. Infielder Hanser Alberto had a knee injection and is expected to miss the Colorado series. Outfielder Chris Taylor is battling a foot injury but was available to pinch-hit, if needed, on Sunday.

The Dodgers will start Julio Urias, who is 5-2, 2.94 on the year. He’s won three straight starts, including beating the Rockies last week.

The Picks

The Dodgers have been one of the best teams in baseball this year, but they haven’t been a moneymaker. That’s because their lines are frequently overpriced due to name recognition. This game appears to be one of those situations.

The momentum and pitching matchup favors L.A. but not to the extent you’d have to pay to take them. Take a flier on the Rockies to keep their mastery of the West going for your MLB picks.

MLB Pick: Rockies ML (+245) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

MLB Pick: Under 8 Runs (-104) at BetOnline

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Under 8 Runs (-104)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.