Red Sox vs. White Sox MLB Best Bets for May 25

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Rich Hill #44 of the Boston Red Sox pitches against the Los Angeles Angels. (Photo By Winslow Townson/Getty Images) (Photo by Winslow Townson / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / Getty Images via AFP)

The Boston Red Sox can beat the Chicago White Sox and the MLB odds this Wednesday in the Windy City. 

Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago White Sox 

Wednesday, May 25, 2022 – 8:10 PM EDT at Guaranteed Rate Field

Did someone curse the Boston Red Sox again? Expectations were already low for Boston this year; Baseball Reference projected them to finish fourth in the American League East at 85-77, seven wins worse than last year. But the Red Sox have some catching up to do after starting the 2022 campaign at 20-22 (minus-2.39 betting units). 
No better time than the present. The Red Sox just swept the Seattle Mariners at Fenway, and now they can get their revenge on the Chicago White Sox (21-21, minus-2.15 units) for doing the same to Boston earlier this month.

Game 2 of their three-game set at New Comiskey is this Wednesday; sure enough, the Sox look like a bargain MLB pick after opening as +154 road dogs at Heritage Sports (visit our Heritage Sports Review). 
Shall we make it the classic underdog-Under parlay while we’re at it? The Under has been profitable across the board this year at 313-269 (53.8 percent) as we go to press, including 48-30 (61.54 percent) between these two clubs, and there’s an eight-run total at Bovada Sportsbook that’s looking for love. Stack ‘em, pack ‘em and rack ‘em. 

Hasn’t Rich Hill Retired Yet? 

No, he has not and he may still have a lot of play in him.

That’s just rude. Boston’s projected starter for Wednesday might be 42 years old, and this might be his fourth stint with the Red Sox, but Hill (3.77 FIP) has been an effective mid-rotation pitcher for quite a while now – when his fingers aren’t all covered in blisters from throwing his impressive curveball. 
Speaking of which, blisters are a very big problem with this year’s batch of baseballs. We’ll get into that more another time, but for now, these balls are crap, and that’s one of the big reasons the Under has been profitable thus far in MLB
Let’s hope Hill’s fingers hold up for at least one more game. The Sox are 4-3 in his seven starts for 0.58 units in profit, although the Over has the slight edge at 3-2-2. 

Where’s the Love for Lucas Giolito? 

The answer is: missing. He deserves much more.

Let’s put it this way: If Giolito (3.83 FIP) pitched for the Chicago Cubs, he’d be a household name by now. Giolito made the All-Star team in 2019, threw a no-hitter in 2020, and has earned the Opening Day start for the White Sox three years running. 
Giolito has his flaws, though. His 36.1-percent ground-ball rate in 2021 was dead last in the majors, and while the 27-year-old north paw strikes out a ton of batters (12.51 per nine innings this year), he also hands out free passes (3.13 per nine IP) like they’re candy. 

Combine that with Chicago’s mediocre bullpen (No. 16 in the majors at 0.9 WAR, as per FanGraphs) and their injury-riddled batting order (2.6 WAR, No. 24), and the Pale Hose are just 2-4 in Giolito’s six starts for a loss of 2.73 betting units, with the Under at 3-2-1. We’ll buy that for a dollar. 

MLB Pick: Red Sox (+154) at Heritage Sports

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Red Sox (+154)
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MLB Pick: Under 8 (–125) at Bovada (visit our Bovada Review

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Under 8 (-125)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.