Red Sox vs. Astros MLB Odds, Preview and Pick

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Nathan Eovaldi #17 of the Boston Red Sox pitches against the Toronto Blue Jays. Brian Fluharty/Getty Images/AFP.

We’ll be making a couple of stops in Houston on this week’s free MLB picks, starting with the Astros’ series opener with the Boston Red Sox on Monday.

One question lingering on everyone’s mind right now with the trade deadline looming is, will any of the players who travel with the Boston Red Sox to Houston end up switching over to the Astros’ dugout midway through the series?

Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros

Monday, August 01, 2022 – 08:10 PM EDT at Minute Maid Park

Red Sox vs. Astros: Who Are the Starting Pitchers?

Monday’s probable starting pitchers are a pair of right-handers who each took a loss when the clubs met earlier this season at Fenway Park, Boston’s Nathan Eovaldi (4-3, 4.43) and Houston's Luis Garcia (8-6, 3.81).

The Astros are -175 chalk with 8-8½ for the total.


Season Series

It has been about 10 weeks since Houston and Boston got together at Fenway Park where the Beantown crew grabbed victories in two of the three matchups, the first series win for the Red Sox in the rivalry since they beat the Astros in the 2018 ALCS.

Rivalry Trends

Houston had won 13 of the previous 19 matchups prior to that May series. The Red Sox dominated the rivalry early on by winning 21 of the first 26 meetings. The Astros have since won 33 of the 55 clashes, including the 2017 ALDS and 2021 ALCS.

  • The Astros won three of the four regular-season games played at Minute Maid Park last year, and two of the three at home in the ALCS.
  • Totals ran 3-4 O/U in the seven games played in Houston a season ago.
  • Boston is a level 47-47-9 O/U/P in the totals column this season while Houston has a strong ‘Under’ tendency at 38-62-3.

Pitchers Analysis

Nate Eovaldi

Is there any pitcher more thankful to see July come to an end than Eovaldi? After missing most of June and the first two weeks of July, the righthander returned just before the All-Star Game and has been knocked around in his last three assignments to the tune of an 11.08 ERA (13 IP).

Eovaldi at least made some strides in his most recent start last Wednesday against Cleveland. He increased his workload to 95 pitches and 6 full innings while allowing 4 earned runs to get a no-decision. Boston eventually fell by a 7-6 count as -130 chalk at Heritage Sports (visit our Heritage Sports Review).

A Houston native, Eovaldi faced the Astros at Fenway in May when he was rocked for 5 homers before finishing the second inning, and he split his two postseason starts at Minute Maid Park last October (9.2 IP, 4 ER) after losing his only regular-season start against Houston.

Luis Garcia

One night after the Astros belted Eovaldi around during their May series at Fenway Park, the Red Sox cracked on Garcia for a 5-1 final that saw the Venezuelan surrender 5 runs – 3 earned – in his 4 innings of work.

Boston also got to Garcia in his Game 2 start of the ALCS last October. Control was an issue for the Houston hurler, and walks really hurt when JD Martinez popped a first-inning grand slam. Garcia rebounded nicely from that to get the dubya in the clinching Game 6 performance that sent the Astros to the World Series.

Like it did for Eovaldi, July proved to be a trying month for Garcia. He is coming off a loss at Oakland this past week, allowing 4 runs in 5 frames, and also walking 4. The Athletics would go on to post a 5-3 decision as +145 underdogs at top-rated sportsbooks.


Red Sox's Trade Rumors

While the Red Sox are just 3½ games out of an AL Wild Card slot right now, they are dead last in the AL East Division race and a game below .500, and that adds up to being sellers at the August 2nd trade deadline.

The three names most commonly mentioned as trade bait for Boston are JD Martinez, Christian Vazquez, and Eovaldi.

After the July he just had – the whole team stunk in July – Eovaldi could be a cheap addition for some team sitting high up the MLB futures pecking order.


MLB Best Bet for Today

Could the Astros be seriously interested in acquiring one of the players the Red Sox are dangling? Possibly, though there’s no reason to think Houston will be in the market to make a major move in the next 36 hours or so.

Following the MLB odds, my play tonight is on Boston as Eovaldi puts up a nice showing to increase his trade value and catch on with a team that’s contending.

MLB Pick: Red Sox ML (+163) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Red Sox ML (+163) 
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.