Red Sox vs. Astros MLB Odds, Preview and Pick

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Jose Altuve #27 of the Houston Astros doubles in the first inning as Yolmer Sanchez #47 of the Boston Red Sox can't handle the throw. Bob Levey/Getty Images/AFP.

It’s getaway day in Houston and we’ve got a free MLB pick for the series and season finale between the Astros and Boston Red Sox.

Huge deals and minor ones were part of baseball’s annual trade deadline extravaganza and a couple of teams that got together on a swap close out a series on Wednesday when the Boston Red Sox go for an upset sweep of the Houston Astros.

Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros

Wednesday, August 03, 2022 – 02:10 PM EDT at Minute Maid Park

Red Sox vs. Astros: Who Are the Starting Pitchers?

It will indeed be an upset if the Red Sox can pull off a victory Wednesday afternoon.

  • Boston was late in reporting its starting pitcher, Brayan Bello (0-3, 8.82), keeping the contest off most overnight boards.
  • Jose Urquidy (9-4, 3.86) is slated for Houston.

Series Highlights

Pitching has been a problem for Boston all season, but the arms showed up in the first two games of this series to help the Red Sox win MLB scores victories over the Astros.

Those victories moved the Red Sox back over .500, though they are still last in the AL East.

Rivalry Trends

  • Winning Games 1 and 2 of the set give Boston a 4-1 record against Houston this year.
  • The Red Sox are seeking their first regular season sweep at Minute Maid Park since 2011 when the Astros were still in the National League.
  • Both games this week stayed ‘Under’ the totals, and five of the last six meetings have failed to reach the scoreboard targets.

Pitchers Analysis

Brayan Bello

Maybe some of the excellent pitching Boston got from Nate Eovaldi and Kutter Crawford in the first two matchups of the series will rub off on Bello as he prepares to make just his fifth major league appearance.

Bello was used as a bulk reliever when Red Sox skipper Alex Cora decided to use an opener strategy against the Brewers last Friday night at Fenway Park, and while it was arguably Bello’s best outing so far, it still resulted in a loss for both Boston and the slender Dominican.

The good news is Bello has yet to serve up a home run in a little more than 16 career innings. The bad news is he has worked with a lot of traffic on the bases having issued 11 walks and given up 26 hits of the single, double and triple varieties.

Jose Urquidy

Urquidy was the beneficiary of the Astros playing home run derby against Boston pitcher Nate Eovaldi when the clubs met at Fenway Park back in May, earning the win in the 13-4 final despite allowing 12 hits and a pair of long balls to the Red Sox over 5 innings.

Boston battered Urquidy as well in Game 3 of the ALCS last October. He couldn’t make it through the second before hitting the showers of a 12-3 Houston loss, the only time he faced the Red Sox in the series. Urquidy did, however, have a very strong start against them in Houston during the 2021 regular season (6 IP, 1 ER, 9 K).

His ERA has improved with each month this season, and Urquidy is coming off a solid month of July when the Astros won four of his five starts and he pitched to a 2.73 ERA (33 IP). He is 3-2 with a 2.64 ERA across eight home starts this campaign. The MLB odds favored Houston in all but one of those eight assignments.

Who Is the Umpire Today?

Jim Wolf will be the umpire at the dish on Wednesday. Now in his 24th season working major league games, Wolf spent part of this season working as a replay official and has just four plate assignments for 2022, those contests splitting 2-2 O/U at the top-rated sportsbooks.

Trade Deadline Moves

Houston Astros

Boston and Houston got together on a swap right about the time the Red Sox arrived in town for this series as Christian Vazquez moved to the Astros, instantly upgrading their offense behind the plate.

Houston also acquired Trey Mancini from the Baltimore Orioles, and both he and Vazquez made their debuts on Tuesday as pinch-hitters.

Boston Red Sox

The Red Sox made two other deals, getting Eric Hosmer from the San Diego Padres and Tommy Pham from the Cincinnati Reds.

MLB Best Bet for Today

The situation is ripe for the bats to make some noise in the series finale, and that’s the way I’ll be playing it as the clubs make it comfortably past what should be an 8½-9 run total.

MLB Pick: Over 8.5 (-119) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Over 8.5 (-119)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.