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Padres vs. Giants Free MLB Picks for September 14

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Padres vs. Giants Free MLB Picks for September 14
Evan Longoria #10 of the Giants hits a single against the San Diego Padres at Oracle Park on September 13, 2021. Ezra Shaw/Getty Images/AFP

These are the best of times for the San Francisco Giants, and the worst of times for the San Diego Padres as the division rivals continue their series in Tuesday’s sports betting calendar. Let’s check out the MLB odds for this game.

San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants

Tuesday, September 14, 2021 – 09:45 PM EDT at Oracle Park

The 4-game series began in a big way for San Francisco as the Giants rolled to a 9-1 win to become the first team in the majors to clinch a playoff spot. A 6-pitcher bullpen effort did the job on the mound, and the Giants added four more homers to their NL-leading total of 217.

San Francisco went up 6-4 in the season series with San Diego, and all four games between the clubs this year at Oracle Park have been ‘over’ winners.

Top sportsbooks expect the good times to continue for the Giants on Tuesday. San Francisco is selling for around -160 on the moneyline.

Jake Arrieta (6-12, 7.04) is on tap for the Padres opposite Anthony DeSclafani (11-6, 3.33), and the 9-run total carries a little extra vig on the ‘under.’

Friars in the Throes of a 4-Game Skid

San Diego’s funk goes much deeper than the current 4-game slide that has seen the Padres outscored 25-5.

Their 8-20 record over the last five weeks has dumped the Padres into a tie with the St. Louis Cardinals for third in the NL Wild Card race. We know either the Giants or Dodgers are going to get one of those two slots, and Cincinnati now has control of the second.

If anyone is looking for a pitcher to deliver fat pitches to them in next year’s Home Run Derby, Arrieta might be available. Seriously, it has been one bad outing after another for the former Cy Young winner, and you know things are bad when a 5-inning, 3-ER performance qualifies as one of your best games.

That’s the line Arrieta put up last Friday in San Diego against the Houston Astros, a no-decision for him and a loss for the Padres as +147 underdogs at Heritage Sports (visit our Heritage Sports Review).

Arrieta is facing the Giants for the first time in a San Diego jersey, and the second time this season after a rather ugly outing at Oracle Park while with the Cubs back in June.

San Francisco scored six times against Arrieta in the second inning of that June 4 contest, ending his evening early. Over his last three starts in San Francisco, Arrieta is 0-2 with a 13.09 ERA.

G-Men Crushing in 8-Game Win Streak

San Francisco jumped all over Yu Darvish on Monday, scoring five times before many of the fans at Oracle Park were comfortably seated. Tommy LaStella set the tone with a leadoff home run, the long ball a common theme in the Giants’ eight-game win streak that has seen them outscore opponents 71-27.

For the second time in three starts since coming off the injured list, DeSclafani was roughed up a bit. Granted, it was in Denver and the Giants still got the "W" as -140 favorites on the MLB betting odds.

It’s still worth keeping in mind as DeSclafani was lifted one out into the fifth having allowed three runs. The former Florida Gator was outstanding before that with six shutout innings at home against the Dodgers. Since the all-star break, DeSclafani owns a 5.12 ERA across nine starts.

DeSclafani is going up against the Padres for a fourth time this season, having caught them once in each of the three previous series.

San Diego split the two matchups at Petco Park and won the clash in San Francisco where DeSclafani worked into the sixth with a shutout going before San the Padres scored three times. He is 6-2 in 11 home starts this season and pitching to a 3.60 ERA in those 55 frames.

The Pick

Jordan Baker, all 6-foot-7 of him, should be the ump at the dish for the second game of the series. The Oklahoma native brings a slight ‘over’ lean into the contest with a 14-12 O/U record, along with a level 8-8 mark on home favorites. Baker’s last four plate assignments in San Francisco sent ‘under’ bettors back to the pay window three times.

There will be a few clouds floating about, but otherwise a mostly clear evening with the thermometer slipping into the mid-50s by the end of the contest. As usual, a 10-15 mph west wind is also in the forecast (out to center). Let’s ride the Oracle Park trend in this series with our free MLB pick on the ‘over.’

MLB Pick: Over 9 (+103) at YouWager (visit our YouWager Review)

*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.