Padres vs. Dodgers Free MLB Picks for September 29

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Max Scherzer #31 of the Los Angeles Dodgers. Matthew Stockman/Getty Images/AFP

A nightmarish end to the season continues for the San Diego Padres who continue their series in Los Angeles against the Dodgers on Wednesday’s sports betting card.

San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Wednesday, September 29, 2021 – 10:10 PM EDT at Dodger Stadium

Los Angeles clinched the season series from San Diego with Tuesday’s 2-1 triumph, the Dodgers lined as -200 chalk in the series opener. The win was the seventh in the row for LA over the Padres and plunged San Diego below .500 on the season. The final never got near a 7½-8 run total at various outlets, leaving totals levels between the two sides in 2021 (8-8-1 O/U/P).

As has been the case frequently for Padres skipper Jayce Tingler, he posted his starting pitcher for Wednesday’s game too late for top sportsbooks to release overnight numbers. Those numbers are sure to be heavily in favor of Los Angeles with Max Scherzer (15-4, 2.28) up next in the Dodgers rotation. Ryan Weathers (4-7, 5.01) will begin proceedings for San Diego, and 7½ sounds about right for the total.

Friars Have Dropped Weathers’ Last Seven Starts

Silly me thinking the Padres might at least show a little pride this week in their closing sets with the Dodgers and Giants. This is one defeated baseball team right now, figuratively and literally, and San Diego is leaving a lot of disappointed fans who are left holding MLB futures tickets that seemed so promising back in March.

We have to look at Weathers as an opener tonight, with his max time on the mound probably around 35-40 pitches or three innings. He has bounced back from an absolutely horrible month of August when Weathers pitched to a 12.42 ERA with a 1.08 showing in five relief appearances (8.1 IP) in September. No player has epitomized San Diego’s second-half struggles more than Weathers; in his last 13 appearances, seven times as a starter, the Padres are 0-13.

Weathers had two consecutive strong starts against the Dodgers in April, tossing 9.1 innings combined and surrendering just two hits and no runs. The Padres won the contest in LA on April 22 as +150 underdogs on the MLB betting odds. The only time since then for Weathers to face the Dodgers was a relief appearance in Los Angeles a little more than two weeks ago, the southpaw working 1.1 innings and allowing a run.

Musical Chairs for Dodgers on IL

Try as they might, the Dodgers just can’t close on the San Francisco Giants in the NL West race. Los Angeles had a bout of good news, bad news on Tuesday, the good side of it being Cody Bellinger coming off the injured list due to a rub issue, and the bad side being a positive virus test for Albert Pujols who now heads to the IL.

Los Angeles moved to 10-0 with Scherzer on the mound his last time out, though it was by far his worst performance since coming to the Dodgers from the Washington Nationals. Granted, it was at Coors Field, Scherzer laboring through five innings last Thursday on 102 pitches and allowing five runs. Los Angeles closed as a -260 favorite at YouWager (visit our YouWager Review) and rallied late for a 7-5 win in 10 innings.

Scherzer is taking on the Padres for the third time since coming to LA, and San Diego was unable to score in either of the previous two. In fact, the Padres only managed to scrape together three hits in the 15.2 innings, all while Scherzer rang up 19 strikeouts against a single free pass. The Padres are hopeful of getting the version of Scherzer they saw in July while he was with the Nationals, San Diego scoring seven times and chasing him in the fourth inning at Petco Park.

Hal Harrison ‘Tripp’ Gibson III is scheduled to call balls and strikes in the middle game of the set, his 31st game at the dish this year. Now in his ninth season, the Kentucky native has been a gold mine for ‘under’ bettors with a 6-23-1 O/U/P record so far. In contests with totals 7½ or less, the ‘under’ has cashed four of six times.

Another lovely evening is on tap in Los Angeles, the thermometer in the upper-60s at first pitch under clear skies with a light SW breeze (out to right). The LA money line is going to be too thick for my taste, but I also see no reason to waste money on San Diego right now. Let’s run with a free MLB pick on the ‘under’ and hope Dodger hitters aren’t too hard on Weathers.

MLB Pick: Under 8 (-110) with BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

Under 8 (-110)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.